Why Biden Should Panic About Robert F. Kennedy Jr.: Daily Mail Poll Shows Independent Taking Nine Points From 2020 Presidential Vote, While Taking Only Four From Trump, In Worrying Sign For the Democrats
Independent presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. sucking away 9 percent of voters who voted for Democratic President Joe Biden in 2020, exclusive new polling from DailyMail.com shows.
Overall, the March DailyMail.com/JL Partners national survey shows Biden trailing former President Donald Trump by four points — 39 percent to 43 percent — with Kennedy taking 7 percent of the vote in the general election of 2024.
Of the third party candidates, Kennedy has the most impact on the race, with Cornel West and Jill Stein receiving the support of 2 percent and 1 percent of the electorate, respectively.
And he is currently hurting Biden even more, as only 5 percent of Trump supporters are flocking to the prominent anti-vaxxer in 2020, allowing the presumptive Republican nominee to maintain a lead over the current president.
Of his 2020 voters, Biden retains just 73 percent, the DailyMail.com survey found.
The March DailyMail.com/JL Partners national survey found that more voters switched from President Joe Biden to independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. in 2020. than those who supported former President Donald Trump four years ago
President Joe Biden will lose 9 percent of his 2020 voters to independent presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr., new exclusive polling from DailyMail.com shows, as well as 3 percent to Cornel West and 1 percent to Jill Stein. Another 4 percent goes to Trump
While 9 percent goes to Kennedy, another 4 percent shifts to Trump.
West, a civil rights leader who supported progressive Sen. Bernie Sanders in the 2020 race, takes 3 percent from the incumbent president, while Stein of the Green Party gets 1 percent.
The liberal Stein managed to throw away enough votes in Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin in 2016 to elect those three traditionally Democratic states to Trump over Democrat Hillary Clinton during that election cycle.
Biden was able to flip all three states back to his column when he defeated Trump in the 2020 race.
Currently, Trump’s 2020 coalition is less divided, according to the DailyMail.com/JL Partners poll.
Of those who supported the Republican four years ago, 86 percent said they would support him in his second reelection bid.
Kennedy will get 5 percent of Trump’s vote share in 2020, while Biden will get 1 percent.
Independent presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (right) announced his vice presidential pick, Bay Area entrepreneur and attorney Nicole Shanahan (left) at a rally Tuesday in Oakland, California
Former President Donald Trump’s 2020 coalition is holding up more than Biden’s, with the ex-president retaining 86 percent of his votes. Yet Kennedy swallows 5 percent, according to polls by DailyMail.com
West polls are at 0 percent, with Stein siphoning 2 percent of Trump’s voters.
‘RFK Jr. matters because there are increasing signs that he will get enough state votes to be a real choice for voters,” said pollster James Johnson, co-founder of JL Partners. “Even if he scores on what he does in our poll – less than 10 percent – that would be one of the best independent/third party performances in recent memory.”
“Right now, RFK Jr is getting more votes from Biden than Trump,” Johnson continued. “He is doing especially well among female voters, younger voters and black voters – all demographics where Biden is doing better overall.”
JL Partners surveyed 1,000 likely voters from March 20 to 24 via landline, mobile phone, text message and apps.
The results have a margin of error of +/- 3.1 percent.
On Tuesday, RFK Jr. announced from Oakland, California that Nicole Shanahan would serve as his running mate.
The 38-year-old Bay Area lawyer, technologist, entrepreneur and foundation head is the ex-wife of Google co-founder Sergey Brin – the 10th richest man in the world – and has already invested $4.5 million in Kennedy’s Super Bowl- commercial.
The March DailyMail.com/JL Partners national survey shows Biden trailing Trump by four points nationally, with independent candidate Kennedy gaining three points since polls were conducted in December.
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (center right) and his actress wife Cheryl Hines (right) on stage in Oakland Tuesday with his new running mate Nicole Shanahan (center left) and her partner Jacob Strumwasser (left)
She is expected to help fund efforts to get Kennedy or his affiliated We The People party on the ballot in states across the country.
That was already a challenge.
In Nevada, for example, the more than 15,000 signatures collected on Kennedy’s behalf to get the independent in the general election may be invalid due to the fact that he had to list Shanahan on his declaration of candidacy.
The Nevada Secretary of State’s office admitted that the Kennedy campaign had received bad information, but added the caveat that “Nevada courts have been clear that the agency may not honor the employee’s statements as tracking those statements would be contrary to the law. .’
The Kennedy campaign did not believe the efforts to throw out the signatures were a mistake, with Kennedy’s attorney Paul Rossi calling the effort “the epitome of corruption.”
“After successfully collecting all the signatures we need in Nevada, the DNC Goon Squad and their lackeys in the Nevada Secretary of State’s office are straight up creating a new petition requirement without any legal basis,” Rossi said .
Kennedy’s spokesperson confirmed to DailyMail.com in Oakland on Tuesday that the campaign would sue the state to have the collected signatures counted.