Canadians aren't traveling to the US as much anymore.ANDREJ IVANOV/AFP via Getty Images
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Since then, Canadians no longer visit the US as often as they used to That of President Donald Trump return to the Oval Office in 2025.
His presidency has focused on aggressive trade policies, heavy U.S. tariffs on Canadian goods and rhetoric about turning the northern country into a US state.
Trade tensions between the two countries have continued as late as 2026, with the Trump administration imposing 50% tariffs on several countries on Saturday. Canadian itemsincluding alcohol and hockey equipment.
Trump says the tariffs are retaliation for Canadian trade policies, which he says puts American manufacturers at an unfair disadvantage.
Trump further threatened to impose one 50% rate on Canadian-made steel, which could also apply to trucks and auto parts starting Jan. 1. That threat was met with a similar threat from Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney, who said Canada would match US tariffs “dollar-for-dollar.”
These trade tensions have had a negative ripple effect on U.S. states that rely on Canadian tourism and visitor spending.
Canadians pulled back on holiday trips to the US in 2025 Statistics Canada data. Visitor numbers recovered last year, but remain below 2024 levels.
To determine which places could be most affected by the drop in visitors, Tourism Economy estimated the decline in Canadian visitor spending in each state in 2025 compared to 2024, and then divided that projected loss by state residents, using population data from the Census Bureau.
The figures show the expected loss of Canadian visitor spending per state resident. The 15 places with losses above the national average of $11 indicated a “heavy reliance on Canadian travel,” Tourism Economics wrote.
The analysis was published in September 2025 and therefore includes forecasts for 2025 rather than actual spending figures.
Tourism Economics found that the next fifteen places – fourteen states and Washington, DC – are more dependent on Canadian travelers and therefore likely to experience higher losses than average.
Here are the 15 places, ranked from least to most affected.
Massachusetts would lose an estimated $12 per state resident by 2025 due to lower Canadian tourism levels. That’s just above the projected national average loss of $11 per U.S. citizen.
14. New Hampshire
White Mountain National Forest, New Hampshire. reisview/Getty Images
New Hampshire, which borders Canadian cities east of Montreal, is expected to lose $13 per state resident due to the decline in Canadian tourism.
The state saw the biggest drop in international overnight visitors in 2025, according to a US newspaper Oxford Economics study, by 23.1%.
12. Montana (tie)
Glacier National Park, Montana. Valentina Gatewood/Getty Images
Montana’s economy is expected to lose $14 per state resident due to tensions between the U.S. and Canada.
The state also saw a 17.7% decline in international overnight visitors in 2025.
12. Oregon (tie)
Mt. Hood, Ore. : Don & Melinda Crawford/Education Images/Universal Images Group via Getty Images
Oregon, which is separated from Canada by one state — Washington — suffered a decline of about $14 per state resident.
11. New York
New York City. william87/Getty Images
New York, which shares a border with Canada, is expected to lose $15 per state resident.
The state was not included in the Oxford Economics study of international visitors arriving in the US overnight.
10. North Dakota
Theodore Roosevelt National Park, North Dakota rruntsch/Getty Images
North Dakota is located just below two Canadian provinces: Saskatchewan and Manitoba. The country was forecast to lose $18 per state resident due to the decline in tourism, and reported the third highest decline in international overnight visitors, at 21.5%.
9. Arizona
Grand Canyon National Park, Arizona. Wirestock/Getty Images
Arizona does not border Alaska. Still, the Grand Canyon State was expected to see a loss of $22 per state resident as fewer Canadians traveled there.
8. Florida
Walt Disney World in Orlando. AlexandreFagundes/Getty Images
Florida, which has previously ranked Canadians as the top state international visitors, was expected to lose $23 per state resident.
7. California
Golden Gate Bridge in San Francisco. John Nilsson/Getty Images
California does not border Canada but is projected to lose $31 per state resident.
The state was not included in the Oxford Economics study of international visitors arriving in the US overnight.
6. Maine
Acadia National Park, Maine. Kellyvandellen/Getty Images
Maine borders southern Quebec, with Portland, the state’s most visited city, just a five-hour drive away.
The state was expected to see a decline of $32 per state resident due to the decline in Canadian tourism, and a 20.9% decline in the number of overnight international visitors by 2025.
5. Vermont
Montpellier, Vermont. John Greim/LightRocket via Getty Images
Vermont shares a small border with Canada – just 90 miles in total – but was expected to see a drop of $37 per state resident.
It is the second largest state that also witnessed a decline in the number of overnight international visitors last year, by 22.6%.
4. Hawaii
Honolulu, Hawaii. Kat Wade/Getty Images
The Aloha State is the furthest state from Canada at about 4,000 km, but was expected to see a drop of $45 per state resident due to the drop in tourism.
3. District of Columbia
Washington, DC. Matthew HATCHER/AFP via Getty Images
The District of Columbia was expected to see a decline of $61 per resident.
2. Nevada
Las Vegas strip, Nevada. Tayfun Coskun/Anadolu via Getty Images
Nevada does not border Canada. Still, its home state of Las Vegas, one of the top travel destinations nationwide, was expected to see a drop of $77 per state resident.
1. Alaska
Denali National Park, Alaska. Lance King/Getty Images
Alaska borders Canada more than any other U.S. state, a total of 1,538 miles.
Nevada’s per capita economic loss nearly doubles, with the state expected to lose $114 per capita due to tensions in the US and Canada.
The state also witnessed a 13.9% decline in the number of overnight international visitors last year.
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