Trump sees massive surge in the polls with surprise demographic: ‘Truly historic’
Former President Donald Trump is heading toward a bloc of voters you might not expect.
Black voters are flocking to Trump in large numbers while simultaneously abandoning President Joe Biden, the CNN poll average showed.
Trump’s support among black voters rose to 22 percent compared to 2020, when the 45th president had the support of only 9 percent of the population.
Biden, on the other hand, saw his 81 percent of black voter support drop to 69 percent in 2020.
CNN data analyst Harry Enten said this could be a “troubling sign” for the Biden campaign heavily dependent on black voters to get him into the White House last time.
Former President Donald Trump waves as he attends the graduation ceremony of his son, Barron Trump, at the Oxbridge Academy in Palm Beach, Florida on May 17, 2024
Derrick Johnson, president of the NAACP, greets US President Joe Biden at the National Museum of African American History and Culture in Washington DC on Friday. Biden is currently touring the country in an effort to shore up his dwindling support among Black voters
If the trend of black voters aligning with Trump continues, he could win a larger share of them than any Republican presidential candidate since 1960, Enten added.
“This would be by far the best performance for a Republican candidate among black voters in a generation, two generations, probably since 1960 and Richard Nixon versus John F. Kennedy… This could be a truly historic margin.”
This is because the two candidates agreed to debate each other twice – first on June 27 with CNN and again on September 10 with ABC News.
The polling average cited by CNN also showed that Trump is most popular among black voters aged 18 to 49.
Twenty-five percent of them now say they support the former president – three times more than voters over 50.
‘Blacks for Trump’ protesters gather on the day Trump appeared in US court in Washington on August 3, 2023
‘Blacks for Trump’ protesters show their support for Trump and his 18 co-defendants outside the Fulton County Courthouse on September 6, 2023 in Atlanta, Georgia
The polling average cited by CNN also showed that Trump is most popular among black voters aged 18 to 49 and has far less support among older black voters.
Biden still has largely locked up older black voters, among whom he enjoys 82 percent support, but the under-50 category has begun to slide.
“This is what a lot of people have been talking about, that Joe Biden has a specific problem among younger black voters, and that’s exactly what’s emerging here,” Enten said.
“It’s these younger black voters who are very much turning against him and supporting Donald Trump much more than they did four years ago.”
Biden has certainly taken notice of the weakening of his coalition and is currently on tour to reassure black voters that he is the right choice to become commander in chief.
“Black history is American history, we have a whole group trying to rewrite history, erase history,” Biden said Friday at the National Museum of African American History and Culture in Washington DC.
Biden delivers a speech at the National Museum of African American History and Culture in Washington, DC. It’s part of his efforts to shore up support among black voters
Spectators react as Biden speaks at the museum
He added, “My name is Joe Biden and I am a lifetime member of the NAACP.”
He was there to mark the 70th anniversary of the ruling in Brown v. Board of Education. The decision banned segregation in public schools.
And on Sunday, Biden will speak at Morehouse College, a historically black liberal arts college in Atlanta, Georgia.
Georgia also happens to be a swing state that Biden narrowly won in 2020.
According to Trump, he maintains a 1.1 percentage point lead over Biden in a hypothetical election match RealClearPolitics.