- JL Partners surveyed 651 New Hampshire voters to gauge their opinions
- The results show they are divided on the type of Republican Party they want
- But it also shows how Haley vs. Trump is a battle between two wings of the Republican Party
It’s Donald Trump versus Nikki Haley on Tuesday in the Republican primaries in New Hampshire.
But the latest JL Partners/DailyMail.com poll shows voters also see it as a battle over the kind of Republican Party they want.
On one side is the new breed of MAGA agitator: former Fox News host Tucker Carlson, Infowars conspiracy theorist Alex Jones and tech billionaire Elon Musk.
On the other side: traditional conservatives Senator Mitt Romney, former Congresswoman Liz Cheney and former President George W. Bush.
The results showed that primary voters were split almost down the middle. About forty percent preferred the new type of rabble, while 37 percent identified with the more traditional names.
Republican primary voters are divided over which idea of the Republican Party they want, according to an exclusive Daily Mail/JL Partners poll
One is a populist, America First version that includes former Fox News host Tucker Carlson, while the other is a more traditional idea with former President George W. Bush.
But within that, the numbers tracked voters’ preferences in the primaries, and pollster James Johnson of JL Partners said this showed how Trump’s grip on the party was tightening.
“This split closely mirrors the primaries, with 70 percent of Haley voters supporting Romney, Bush and Cheney and 65 percent of Trump voters supporting Carlson, Musk and Jones,” he said.
“Looking at this finding alone, it could indicate a party torn between two radically different paths, with Haley and Trump locked in a fierce battle to determine its future.
“The reality is that this is an illusion – New Hampshire, and indeed Nikki Haley, is an outlier, a crutch against the steady advance of the Republican Party in the hands of people like Tucker, Musk and Jones.”
“Even in the Granite State, it’s only the inclusion of undeclared voters that makes it a close race: Among registered Republicans, Romney, Bush and Cheney trail by 31% to 46%.”
Members of the tradition wing have long advocated a confrontation with the newcomers brought in by Trump, favoring his populist agenda coupled with an isolationist foreign policy.
But all indications are that their standard-bearer, Nikki Haley, who has pushed for a smaller government and more aid to Ukraine, is heading for a crushing defeat.
When JL Partners surveyed 651 people in New Hampshire after the Iowa caucuses, the results showed Trump with a lead of 51 to 41 points.
Trump and Haley see themselves as part of different parties. Trump voters overwhelmingly identify with Carlson, Musk and Jones, while Haley voters like Bush, Romney and Cheney
The race is a two-way battle between Haley and Trump. And it could all be over on Wednesday
When pollsters added a sample of another 200 people after Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis dropped out on Sunday, they found a huge, late surge toward Trump.
The final, weighted result showed Trump as much as a 20-point lead.
Former New Hampshire Republican Chairwoman Jennifer Horn said it was clear Haley had no path to the nomination in this new party.
“The party has changed,” she told reporters Monday during a Bloomberg roundtable before voting began.
“And a big…maybe not the whole party, but a big part of the party has really changed and they live in a different atmosphere than they used to, and they’re just disconnected from that part of the party. party.’