- According to the new poll, Harris is above 50% among registered and likely voters
- Here the lead grows as Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. enters the race
A stunning poll shows Vice President Kamala Harris with a four-point lead over Donald Trump, the latest to show her rising over President Joe Biden in recent weeks.
The poll, by Marquette University Faculty of Lawgives Harris a bigger edge if third-party candidates like Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. are also involved.
That puts her ahead of Republican Trump 52 to 48. When Kennedy is included, along with Jill Stein and Cornel West, her lead grows to 47 for Harris and 41 for Trump. Kennedy gets 9 percent.
Her lead also jumps to 6 percent when pollsters screen “likely voters.” Here she wins an outright majority, with a 53-47 lead over Trump. Trump and President Joe Biden were tied in the same May poll, with Trump holding a narrow 51-49 lead among likely voters.
Some of Harris’ momentum has carried over to the swing states, though a series of polls there show the race as a virtual tossup. She leads Trump by just 50-49 in Wisconsin among likely voters, according to the Marquette poll.
(She holds a similar 46-45 lead when Kennedy, Jr. is included.) The national poll, released Wednesday, has a margin of error of 4 percent in a race that is reportedly tight.
Harris now leads Trump by less than a point in the Cook Political Report polls, a three-point improvement from three weeks ago. Political observers are calling it a “campaign reset.”
Vice President Kamala Harris leads Donald Trump 52-48 in a new Marquette University Law School poll, with her lead slowly increasing among likely voters
Trump’s lead has shrunk in Arizona and Georgia, but Harris now has a “margin of error” lead in the so-called Blue Wall battlegrounds of Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. And the publication’s forecasters have moved Arizona, Georgia and Nevada from “lead Republican” to tossup.
“For the first time in a long time, Democrats are united and energized, with Republicans hot on their heels,” wrote analyst Amy Walter.
It comes after Trump pollsters predicted Harris would enjoy a polling “honeymoon” after Biden dropped out of the race. The intervening period was marked by a rocky rollout for Trump’s running mate J.D. Vance, and a move toward party unity within Harris’ coalition.
Kamala Harris has surged in the polls against Donald Trump since President Joe Biden left office
Trump led a united GOP Congress, but saw his numbers fall when Joe Biden announced he would not seek re-election
This period saw a consolidation of support for Harris among younger voters, African-American voters and Hispanic voters.
Democrats rallied behind their own vice candidate, Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz, though Republicans are only just beginning to unpack his record, attacking his retirement from the Army National Guard, where he served for 24 years before his unit was deployed to Iraq.
Harris is traveling with Walz to the battlefields this week, hoping to bring an arsenal of Democratic firepower to her convention in Chicago. Trump and Vance have criticized Harris for not holding a news conference since replacing Biden, and Trump plans to take questions at Mar-a-Lago after stirring controversy during his last Q&A with a Black journalists’ association.