Does your vote count? The 2024 election will be decided by 6 percent of American voters in these six states

By William On May 6, 2024

Six percent of voters in six states will decide the next president of the United States, a new report claimed Monday with six months to go until the Nov. 5 election.

National polls show a statistical tie between Joe Biden and Donald Trump, but strategists have focused on the six states they see as key to victory: Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.

And in those six states, it will be a six percent margin of voters that determines the winner, officials on both sides said Axios.

Biden won all six states in the 2020 election, but the margins were slim: Biden won them all by less than three points.

And by flipping just over 81,139 votes in four of the states — Arizona, Nevada, Wisconsin and Georgia — Trump would have won the White House, the WashingtonPost found it.

There are a few other states in the mix when it comes to the battle for the 270 electoral votes needed to win the presidency.

Both campaigns are looking closely at North Carolina, which Trump won by just over one percent in 2020.

The Trump campaign also claims that Minnesota and Virginia are in play — both of which Biden won last time. And Biden’s team claims Florida — Trump’s home state that the former president carried four years ago — is within reach.

But the main focus is on Democrats’ so-called blue wall, where older, whiter voters in Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin are the most competitive for Biden.

It is seen as more necessary than the Sun Belt states of Arizona, Nevada, Georgia and North Carolina.

The Rust Belt states appear more competitive: Trump leads by 1.4 points in Michigan, 2 points in Pennsylvania and 2.8 points in Wisconsin, according to FiveThirtyEight’s polling averages.

While Trump’s margin is larger in the Sun Belt, where he leads Biden between 3 and 7 points in Arizona, Georgia, Nevada and North Carolina.

If all other state results remain the same as in 2020, Biden could lose Arizona, Nevada and Georgia, along with North Carolina, in November and still win the presidency

But he needs all three Rust Belt states — Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin — for a second term in the White House. If Trump wins just one, he will assume the presidency.

Joe Biden needs all three Rust Belt states – Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin – for a second term in the White House

Donald Trump is also campaigning heavily in the Rust Belt

Trump has spent the past week campaigning in Wisconsin and Michigan — a sign that he is trying to tear down Biden’s blue wall. Biden has made repeated visits to the area.

With six months to go, anything can happen and many factors remain at play.

Trump faces multiple lawsuits at the state and federal level: including a hush-money case in New York, a federal case over his handling of classified documents, and both federal and state charges that he tried to overturn the 2020 election results.

Biden, meanwhile, faces an unstable Middle East and progressives dissatisfied with his staunch support for Israel and treatment of Palestinian refugees.

Then there’s Robert Kennedy Jr.’s independent presidential bid. Both Trump and Biden’s teams worry that Kennedy could play a spoiler role, taking voters away from either of them.

Trump has criticized RFK Jr. stepped up and Biden has rolled out a dozen endorsements from the Kennedy family to challenge RFK Jr.’s use of the clan’s political legacy. to counteract.

Biden’s health remains a concern. The president turns 82 just weeks after Election Day, November 5, and is already the oldest president in American history; Trump is 77.

And his approval rating remains at a low 38 percent, according to Gallup polls.

Meanwhile, Americans remain dissatisfied with the economy, concerned about immigration and fighting over abortion rights.

And a majority of voters have indicated they are not happy with a rematch between the two men.

Democrat Roy Cooper, governor of North Carolina, said many voters are recovering from what he called “a downhill, drag-out battle” during the 2020 presidential election.

“A lot of them don’t realize that it’s actually going to be a rematch,” Cooper told the Associated Press. “If they do that, I don’t think there’s any doubt that Joe Biden is going to win the day.”