Trump hit with a trifecta of poll blows in critical swing states and red flags from early voting
New polls show Kamala Harris with a slight lead in the so-called ‘blue wall’ states, with just four days to go before the election. There are new signs that Donald Trump could lose the support of one of the most reliable voting groups.
The election comes as both the vice president and Trump are set to campaign in “blue wall” states on Friday.
The Marist poll showed Harris ahead of Trump by three points in Michigan among likely voters, 51 percent to 48 percent.
It also shows her two points ahead in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, with 50 percent to Trump’s 48 percent in each.
All three are within the margin of error. But if the vice president captures the three “blue wall” states, she will gain the necessary 270 electoral votes to win the White House.
Vice President Kamala Harris appears to have a slight lead over former President Donald Trump in the three states known as the ‘blue wall’, according to new polls
In Michigan, Harris has opened a six-point lead among independent voters, the poll showed. She leads Trump among independents 52 percent to 46 percent.
More than 2.3 million people have already voted in Michigan.
Among those who have already cast their ballots in the state, Harris has 63 percent. But Trump leads with 59 percent of those yet to vote.
Survey conducted from October 27 to 30
In Pennsylvania, polls show a dramatic 19-point difference among independent voters compared to September polls, when Trump had a four-point lead.
It has Harris at 55 percent among independents, while Trump has 40 percent of their support. The vice president has a larger lead there than when Biden won the state in 2020.
More than 1.6 million people have already voted in the Keystone State.
Pennsylvania is the only battleground that doesn’t offer early in-person voting, so people must return their ballots by mail or drop them off in person.
Among those who have already voted there, Harris leads with 63 percent.
Survey conducted from October 27 to 30
The polls there come as there are warning signs for Trump when it comes to senior voting in the Keystone State.
According to models from TargetSmart, more than 52 percent of those who have already voted are 65 and older.
But when it comes to those seniors, registered Democrats account for 58 percent of votes cast, compared to just 35 percent for Republicans, despite both parties having about the same number of registered seniors, Politico reported.
Republicans expect more of their senior voters to turn out on Election Day, and the polls show Trump with a total of 54 percent ahead of Harris’ 44 percent when it comes to those who have yet to vote.
But Harris’ large lead among seniors could already be a red flag for Trump who had the highest vote despite losing the state in 2020, as the GOP has encouraged more voters to participate in early voting this election season.
Survey conducted from October 27 to 30
Meanwhile, in Wisconsin, the vice president also has a six-point lead among independent voters, 51 percent to 45 percent.
The vice president also appears to have closed the gap with white voters somewhat. While Trump still has a two-point lead among white voters, it’s a smaller margin than he led against Biden in 2020 and still lost the state.
More than 1.2 million people have already voted in Wisconsin. Harris leads among those who voted by fourteen points, 57 percent to 43 percent.
Both Harris and Trump are campaigning in Wisconsin on Friday. Harris has a series of three rallies in the state.
Trump will end the day with a rally in Milwaukee, after also making a campaign stop in Michigan earlier in the day.