Top pollster Frank Lutz reveals the crucial demographic that could catapult Kamala Harris into the White House
A leading Republican pollster has said he believes Kamala Harris will win the race for the White House based on the votes of young women.
Frank Luntz, a top strategist for the Republican Party, revealed Friday evening that he expects it to win a decisive victory in the upcoming elections.
Speaking to CNN’s Anderson Cooper on his show AC360, Luntz said if the group attended in large numbers it would be “great news for Harris.”
Cooper asked him about polls showing Harris now leading Donald Trump in Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin.
Luntz said he was done watching the election and said it was now fixed and needed to turn his attention to turnout and the votes of young women
Speaking to CNN’s Anderson Cooper on his show AC360, Luntz said if the group attended in large numbers it would be “great news for Harris.”
With just days to go until the election, polls suggest Trump will be pushed out of the so-called “blue wall” states by Harris, as seen here in Wisconsin on Friday.
He said: ‘I don’t watch the elections that much anymore because they are fixed. I don’t think there are any more undecided.
‘There are still noncommittal ones, there are still persuasive ones. But if you have any doubts, reject both candidates. You don’t like them. Ultimately, you’re not going to vote for them.
“For me, I’m trying to figure out what the turnout is going to be like. And the group I look at more than any other group is young women.
“If they come out in large numbers, if they make up a larger percentage of the total voter pool, then that’s great news for Harris. That can propel her forward.’
He also said he is keeping a close eye on Hispanic voters, especially after a recent Trump rally at Madison Square Garden where speakers made racist comments.
Luntz added, “The other group I’m looking at, the Latinos, is partly clouded by what happened earlier this week at Madison Square Garden.
“But the Latino population is voting in good numbers in Western states, and that is critical in Arizona and Nevada. What they do can also be decisive.’
With just a few days to go until the election, polls indicate that Trump will be driven out of the so-called ‘blue wall’ states by Harris.
Republican candidate and former President Donald Trump is seen here Friday during a campaign stop in Wisconsin
Voters fill out their ballots during in-person early voting at the Hamilton County Board of Elections, Thursday, Oct. 31, 2024, in Cincinnati
The Marist poll showed Harris ahead of Trump by three points in Michigan among likely voters, 51 percent to 48 percent.
It also shows her two points ahead in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, with 50 percent to Trump’s 48 percent in each.
All three are within the margin of error. But if Harris captures the three “blue wall” states, she will gain the necessary 270 electoral votes to win the White House.
In Michigan, Harris has opened a six-point lead among independent voters, the poll showed. She leads Trump among independents 52 percent to 46 percent.
More than 2.3 million people have already voted in Michigan.
Among those who have already cast their ballots in the state, Harris has 63 percent. But Trump leads with 59 percent of those yet to vote.
In Pennsylvania, polls show a dramatic 19-point difference among independent voters compared to September polls, when Trump had a four-point lead.
It has Harris at 55 percent among independents, while Trump has 40 percent of their support.
The vice president has a larger lead there than when Biden won the state in 2020. More than 1.6 million people have already voted in The Keystone State.
Pennsylvania is the only battleground that doesn’t offer early in-person voting, so people must return their ballots by mail or drop them off in person.
Meanwhile, in Wisconsin, the vice president also has a six-point lead among independent voters, 51 percent to 45 percent.
Harris also appears to have closed the gap with white voters somewhat. While Trump still has a two-point lead among white voters, it’s a smaller margin than he led against Biden in 2020 and still lost the state.
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More than 1.2 million people have already voted in Wisconsin. Harris leads among those who voted by fourteen points, 57 percent to 43 percent.
It comes after DailyMail.com’s final poll before election day, which showed Trump has now overtaken Harris.
The former president now has a three-point lead over the current vice president, with Trump drawing support from independents and undecided voters.
New data, with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.1 percent, shows Trump trending upward, with support at 49 percent to Harris’ 46 percent.