A controversial ‘superforecaster’ has predicted that World War III is about to break out, but will lead to the collapse of the US in 2032.
Martin Armstrong made the stark claims using an AI-powered computer called ‘Socrates’, which he programmed to monitor the world’s news feeds and look for fundamental news events that correlate behind global trends.
Armstrong, who used Socrates to predict the Japanese real estate crash of 1989 and the Russian financial crisis of 1998, now believes the current conflict in Ukraine will spiral into a broader international conflict, based on the latest data analysis.
“I think this is the only true artificial intelligence system in the world,” the infamous self-taught economic modeler told DailyMail.com.
Armstrong created the AI program out of a desire to write software that could automate hedge fund trading in the 1970s and 1980s.
Over time, however, he began to realize that his code could also anticipate global conflicts.
“People always know ‘when war is about to erupt, as he describes the data ‘tea leaves’ that Socrates digitally searches,” Armstrong said, “then there will be no stopping it. And so there are always significant capital movements before a conflict begins or spreads, just as the war in Ukraine might do.
“People always know ‘when war is about to break out,’ as he describes the data ‘tea leaves’ that Socrates digitally searches,” Armstrong said, ‘then the war in World War III will become unstoppable.
Armstrong correctly predicted the collapse of Russia (Martin Armstrong)
“And because of that, there are always significant capital movements before a conflict begins or expands, as the war in Ukraine might do.
He continued to explain that in June 1998 the ‘The computer predicted that Russia would collapse. This resulted in a long-term capital management crisis.
‘It’s all about capital flows.’
This summer, Armstrong saw disturbing confirmation beyond his Socrates financial model when Russian ally North Korea committed its own troops to Ukraine’s Donetsk region, ostensibly to help Russia’s reconstruction efforts at a cost of $115 million a year.
“This opens the door for the West to send troops to Ukraine under the same principle” Armstrong wrote in June. “All the chess pieces are lined up and ready.”
But Socrates’ inventor was not always so focused on war.
Born in New Jersey, Armstrong was encouraged to get into computers by his lawyer father in the 1960s – a hobby that fueled his fascination with markets during the 1966 crash.
He became particularly obsessed with the cycles of booms and busts, noticing that the same kinds of swings recurred in different markets.
So Armstrong built a global model in the mid-1970s and began publishing results in 1972, calling his simulation the “Economic Confidence Model.”
As he said The New Yorker in 2009 he discovered that the business cycle rounds every 8.6 years.
‘I was in Geneva in the 1980s, when we were all dealing with OPEC money. I saw Japan starting to rise and capital starting to flow into Asia,” he told DailyMail.com.
Crowds crowd banks as Russia’s economy collapses in 1998 (AFP)
Martin Armstrong saw significant success in predicting markets
“As I observed these capital flows, I wrote a program to track and predict where capital would move next,” he continued.
This work formed the basis for some of Armstrong’s most shockingly accurate predictions and the unwanted attention and problems they brought with them.
“In the 80s, one of the top banks in Lebanon asked me to build a model,” he recalls.
‘I called them and told them I thought there was something wrong with the data. I said, “The computer says your country will fall apart in eight days.”
“And my client at the bank said to me, ‘What currency is recommended,’ and I replied, ‘Swiss francs.’
“Eight days later,” as Armstrong remembers it, “the Civil War began.”
In the 1980s and 1990s, Armstrong briefed the US Congress on the global economy, visited Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher in Britain – and said the CIA sought his expertise in the aftermath of Russia’s 1998 financial collapse.
“Today the computer collects reports from all over the world and writes more than 1,000 forecast reports every day,” he told DailyMail.com.
But Armstrong is a controversial figure: after building his reputation in the 1980s and 1990s, he spent 11 years in prison for defrauding investors of $700 million in 1999 in what was described as a “Ponzi scheme.” three billion dollar plan.”
Armstrong’s system predicted the outbreak of civil war in Lebanon
Like the New York Times Given his peculiar trial, Armstrong spent seven years in prison for civil contempt from 2000 to 2007 before even standing before a jury or being convicted.
‘Sir. Armstrong’s years in prison will soon exceed the 6.5 to 8 year sentence he would have received had he been convicted of all 24 offenses of securities fraud, commodities fraud and bank fraud,” they noted.
“This case sends a very bad message,” as Armstrong’s former criminal defense attorney Bernard V. Kleinman put it.
In 2014, the documentary ‘The Forecaster’ chronicled Armstrong’s life, although it was derided by critics for being ‘one-sided’ in its defense of the forecaster.
Armstrong likens his role as a “super-predictor” of major geopolitical events to the kind of serendipitous breakthroughs scientists have made in the laboratory.
“It’s like when they accidentally discovered penicillin,” he told DailyMail.com.
‘This is the same. I didn’t set out to create a program that would predict wars. It just happened.’
Armstrong said that 2011 was when the “war cycle” happened when things started to change, which is why he now believes that Ukraine is where World War III will begin, as the earliest hostilities match that timeline.
In 2014, Armstrong’s life was described in the documentary ‘The Forecaster’
“So many wars have been fought over Crimea,” he added, “more than almost any other area.”
“Unfortunately, we have a bunch of what we call neoconservatives in the United States. They control NATO. Every country has them. Russia has them. China has them. They just want war all the time.”
Armstrong said he believes things in Ukraine will “heat up” in 2025, and “the end of that is probably 2027.”
“These people just want an eternal war,” he said.
Armstrong said he believes Donald Trump is an anti-war candidate, and that he believes Robert F Kennedy Jr. spoke on the phone and that he too is anti-war.
“He knows that his uncle and father are disabled by that,” Armstrong said, “and so I think what’s going on is they’re very afraid that if Trump wins, it would cut off all funding for Ukraine. ‘
A Russian Iskander-K missile launched during a military exercise at a training area at the Luzhsky Range, near Saint Petersburg, Russia, in 2017
Armstrong also believes that the current government system will collapse by 2032 – based not on the 8.6-year cycle of boom and bust, but on a larger cycle.
“What the computer has now projected into 2032 is that approximately every three hundred years we go through cycles of governments changing shape,” he explained.
“It doesn’t matter what form of government we choose; There is always corruption, and they are essentially dying of economic suicide. The last time this happened was with monarchies. The United States had a revolution against the monarchy, and then you saw it spread like a contagion to France.’
“2032 will be the end of the Republic,” he predicted.
Armstrong said he hopes governments will move closer to a “direct democracy,” in which policy is determined by polling the public for their opinions.
He expressed the view that the so-called current ‘Great Reset’, driven by the World Economic Forum and its chairman Klaus Schwab, is doomed to failure.
The “Great Reset,” he said, is “absolutely related” not only to the outbreak of international war, but also to contemporary political polarization.
“Abraham Lincoln said that a country divided cannot stand, and that the country here in the United States is extremely polarized,” Armstrong said.
“Just look at the Democratic Convention. I mean, they threw out Trump’s name 289 times. It was more of a hate-fest. It’s not like ‘Vote for me’. I’m going to do this. I’ll handle this better.’ It’s ‘Vote for me because he’s bad.’