The 2023-2024 Premier League season has been nothing short of fascinating.
We’ve had some great goals, points deductions and a mouth-watering title run that could go all the way.
There was another twist in the story on Sunday when Arsenal again increased the pressure on leaders Liverpool after Mikel Arteta’s side recorded a 3-1 victory against the Merseyside team.
After a recent dip in form, which saw North London go three games without a win before being knocked out of the FA Cup at home to Jurgen Klopp’s side, their win yesterday has thrown the title race wide open again, with the Gunners sitting top of the table ranking only two points behind Liverpool.
Manchester City, meanwhile, have also gone about their business quietly, with Pep Guardiola’s side recording a 3-1 win over Burnley in midweek to claim their eighth win in all competitions and moving them within three points of Arsenal in third place.
The battle for the Premier League title heats up as Man City, Liverpool and Arsenal go head-to-head in the final three months of the season
Arsenal moved within two points of leaders Liverpool on Sunday after beating Jurgen Klopp’s side at the Emirates Stadium
Man United, meanwhile, have withdrawn from contention for a place in the Champions League and will receive no support to qualify for the European tournament this season
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Things are also getting very tight at the bottom of the table, with Luton starting to find some form as Everton and Nottingham Forest have both struggled to win games in recent weeks.
With just over three months of the season left to play, we’re left scratching our heads as to what the rankings will look like at the end of the campaign. Who will be relegated? Will Man United secure a place in the Champions League? And who will be crowned champions?
Well, one Sports intelligence has predicted how the Premier League table will look at the end of the season and they have made some interesting observations Aurel Nazmio posts their predictions on Twitter.
Twenty First Group, a data analytics company that provides insights to help sports brands achieve success, believes Manchester City will move ahead of both Liverpool and Arsenal to claim their fourth consecutive Premier League title.
They have given Pep Guardiola’s side a 48 per cent chance of winning the league, with City currently five points clear of Liverpool at the top of the Premier League table. They take on Brentford tonight and will hope to make up some of the ground they lost during their pre-Christmas dip in form.
Interestingly, despite returning to form and beating the league leaders, the Twenty First Group has given the Gunners a 15 percent chance of winning the league title, while Liverpool have a 36 percent chance.
City are backed to win a fourth consecutive Premier League title this season, according to a data insights firm
The Twenty First Group believes City will surpass Liverpool and Arsenal to win the competition, while Man United have only a slim chance of qualifying for the Champions League.
Aston Villa, who currently sit fourth in the table after a fantastic season in which they have lost just five games, have a 74 percent chance of qualifying for the Champions League. If they do, it will be the first time in the club’s history that they have qualified for the European tournament, despite winning the European Cup in 1982.
Currently, Villa are level with City on 46 points, five points ahead of Liverpool, but unlike the defending champions, Unai Emery’s side have been given a one percent chance of winning the title.
However, one of the most intriguing insights into their predictions is that Manchester United currently have just a 14 percent chance of breaking into the top four this season.
That may not come as a surprise given the quality of the teams above them in the league and the fact that the Red Devils have had quite a torrid season, notably failing to qualify for the knock-out elimination stage of the Champions League.
While United have dropped to sixth in the league after losing nine games this season, Erik ten Hag has also struggled off the field due to discipline issues within his squad. However, things have not been too bad for United in recent weeks, with the Red Devils remaining unbeaten in their last five games in all competitions.
As we move down the table, the analytics firm has given Newcastle an eight percent chance of returning to the Champions League. They hardly give Chelsea a chance of reaching the top four this season as the pressure begins to mount on Mauricio Pochettino following their 4-2 defeat to Wolves this weekend.
Aston Villa, meanwhile, have been given a 74 per cent chance of qualifying for the Champions League this season following Unai Emery’s excellent form this term.
| Team | Title odds (%) | UCL qualification chances (%) | Relegation chances (%) |
|---|---|---|---|
| The city of man | 48 | >99 | 0 |
| Liverpool | 36 | >99 | 0 |
| Arsenal | 15 | 98 | 0 |
| Aston Villa | 1 | 74 | 0 |
| Tottenham | 1 | 72 | 0 |
| Man united | 14 | 0 | |
| Newcastle | 8 | ||
| West Ham | 0 | 4 | |
| Brighton | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| Chelsea | 0 | 3 | |
| Wolves | 0 | ||
| Bournemouth | 0 | 1 | |
| Fulham | 0 | 2 | |
| Brentford | 0 | 4 | |
| Crystal Palace | 0 | 7 | |
| Nottingham forest | 0 | 0 | 22 |
| Everton | 0 | 0 | 22 |
| Luton | 0 | 0 | 54 |
| Burnley | 0 | 0 | 88 |
| Sheffield United | 0 | 0 | 99 |
| **Twenty First Group statistics |
Everton will avoid relegation despite being hit with a 10-point deduction this season, according to insights firm
The agency also believes that Chris Wilder’s team has a one percent chance of survival
Things are also tense at the bottom of the table. Although Luton have not been defeated in their last three games, notably with a 4-0 win against Brighton and a 4-4 draw against Newcastle in the last two games, Rob Edwards’ side are backed to finish within the relegation zone.
Everton, meanwhile, will see them through to safety, according to the Twenty First Groups predictions, even after the Blues were hit with a 10-point penalty and a further charge for breaching profit and sustainability rules this season.
Things look bleak for both Burnely and Sheffield United at the bottom of the table. Neither has won their last five games, with Vincent Kompany’s side given an 88 percent chance of relegation.
Chris Wilder’s side are now almost certain of defeat this season, with Twenty First Group giving them a one percent chance of survival.