Six polls show the tide turning for Trump with a bump in Pennsylvania and an issue pivotal for voters
A series of new polls suggest the race for the White House is turning in favor of former President Donald Trump and against Vice President Kamala Harris, with less than two weeks to go until Election Day.
Trump is campaigning in Nevada, while Harris heads to Georgia on Thursday for a rally alongside former President Obama before both presidential candidates make a stop in Texas on Friday.
It comes as more than 29 million people have already cast early votes in person or by mail in the 2024 election.
But a new Wall Street Journal poll released Thursday shows the Republican presidential candidate with a three-point lead over the vice president nationally.
According to the poll, Trump has 47 percent and Harris 45 percent among registered voters. That’s a reversal from the Wall Street Journal’s August polls.
A series of recent polls have shown good news for former President Donald Trump and warning signs for Vice President Kamala Harris as Election Day is less than two weeks away
In the CNBC All-America Economic Survey, Trump also leads 48 to 46 percent.
In the seven battleground states likely to decide the election, the CNBC poll shows Trump with a 48 percent lead among voters, compared to Harris’ 47 percent.
In that poll, economic issues remain the biggest concern for voters. When it comes to prioritizing inflation, the economy and the needs of the middle class, Trump has a strong advantage.
The poll found that 42 percent of voters said they would be better off financially if Trump wins, compared to just 24 percent who said the same if Harris wins. Another 29 percent said their financial situation will not change regardless of who wins the White House.
National poll of registered voters
That compares with the latest monthly poll from the Financial Times and the University of Michigan’s Ross School of Business, which shows the ex-president in the lead 44 percent to 43 percent among registered voters on the economy.
It was the first time that Trump led on the economy in that particular poll.
In two new polls from the crucial state of Pennsylvania, which with 19 has the most electoral votes of all swing states, Trump has also taken a lead in the final sprint.
The poll from Franklin and Marshall College in Pennsylvania shows Trump with a 50 to 49 percent lead over Harris among likely voters, but among all registered voters the vice president still has a 48 percent to 44 percent lead.
That poll shows Trump with a six-point lead when it comes to handling the economy and the military. But Harris has an advantage when it comes to understanding the concerns of ordinary Americans and is considered more trustworthy.
National poll and state poll of voters
A separate poll from Emerson College, also from the Keystone State, shows Trump with a one-point lead among voters, indicating how tight the race really is in Pennsylvania.
The poll puts the ex-president at 49 percent and the vice president at 48 percent. Another three percent of voters had another choice or were undecided.
“There is a significant age difference among voters: Voters under 50 favor Harris, 57 percent to 39 percent, while voters over 50 favor Trump, 57 percent to 41 percent,” said Executive Director Spencer Kimball.
Survey of Likely Voters in Keystone State
Meanwhile, a new Marist poll shows the Republican presidential candidate growing in popularity among likely voters in Sunbelt battleground states.
Trump has a two-point lead in North Carolina, a one-point lead in Arizona and is tied with Harris in Georgia.
In North Carolina, Harris has a 12-point lead among early voters, but Trump is higher overall, including among independents who are winning for the ex-president 53 to 42 percent, according to the poll.
In Arizona, Harris has a 10-point lead among likely independent voters and among those who have already cast their ballots, but overall Trump maintains the lead with an 11-point lead among those who have yet to vote.
Although the Marist poll shows the Georgia race tied among likely voters, Harris leads by 15 points among Independents likely to vote, which is larger than President Biden’s nine-point lead among Independents in the election. 2020 against Trump.
Vice President Kamala Harris left for Atlanta on October 24, 2024 for a meeting with former President Obama
Donald Trump speaks during a Turning Point Action rally in Duluth, Georgia on October 23
But Trump has more than double Harris’ support among the state’s likely white voters: 67 percent to 32 percent.
At the same time, Harris leads among likely Black voters at 82 percent to Trump’s 15 percent, but her lead is slightly smaller than Biden’s lead among Black voters in 2020, when he won the state by just over 11,000 votes.