The election forecast Five Thirty-eight shows that Kamala Harris has a 50 percent chance of winning the election in less than three weeks.
Meanwhile, Donald Trump is just under 49 percent, making the race a dead heat.
In the national polling average, Harris has a slight lead of just 2.8 points.
“We are in pure tossup territory and Harris’ slight lead from last week is gone,” Silver wrote.
The latter represents a one-point improvement for former President Trump over Silver’s previous model.