Prediction: 2025 is the year when quantum computing evolves from physical qubits to logical qubits

Quantum computing has long been a subject of fascination and excitement, promising to solve complex problems far beyond the capabilities of classical computers. As we enter 2025, this transformative technology is poised to take a giant leap forward, from physical qubits to logical qubits. This shift marks a pivotal moment in the quantum industry’s journey, one that paves the way for exciting developments across industries and addresses the technical challenges that have thus far limited the potential of quantum computers.

Predicting the jump from physical to logical qubits

In a similar way that classical computers use bits to store information, quantum computers are built on using physical qubits to store quantum information. Unfortunately, physical qubits are sensitive to environmental noise, making them error-prone and unsuitable for solving large computational problems. This limitation can be overcome by using quantum error correction, which encodes information across multiple physical qubits to create more reliable, error-resistant units called logical qubits. This transition will enable quantum computers to tackle real-world problems, moving the technology from experimental to practical, large-scale applications.

To effectively create many logical qubits, quantum computing hardware must incorporate multiple advanced technologies and algorithms and provide sufficiently reliable computing resources in a sustainable manner. Recent technical developments in the quantum industry, high-profile industry partnerships, and an increasing number of scientists and engineers working on quantum error correction have accelerated the timeline for creating logic qubits much faster than expected.

Justin Ging

Chief Product Officer, Atom Computing.

Which will enable the shift to logical qubits

The transition to logic qubits in 2025 will dramatically expand the capabilities of quantum computers, with far-reaching consequences for multiple sectors.

Quantum chemistry is expected to be one of the first quantum computing applications to use logic qubits to simulate chemical reactions with much higher precision than classical computers. The first wave of research will be highly scientific, but there will soon be a turning point toward the exploration of real-world applications that will have tangible economic and social value.

Another area that will benefit from the transition to logic qubits is the development of renewable energy and batteries. By simulating physical quantum processes, such as the behavior of electrons in new materials, quantum computers will help accelerate the development of more efficient batteries and energy storage solutions. This could lead to breakthroughs in electric vehicles, sustainable energy networks and the search for sustainable energy solutions.

The list of applications continues to expand as the number of logical qubits increases and the quality increases. For example, accelerated exploration of vast chemical spaces for potential drug identification for pharmaceutical applications, modeling of complex systems in the financial sector, optimization of interconnected supply chain problems for the manufacturing industry, modeling of physical properties of new materials and improvement of the performance of machine learning applications. All this will be accelerated by the availability of logic qubits, allowing users to run deeper and more complex algorithms than before.

In addition to the growing interest in quantum computing applications, an important issue that is becoming increasingly prominent is the question of the sustainability of the quantum technologies themselves. As we have seen with advances in AI and data centers, the physical and environmental footprint of digital technologies can be drastic, and quantum computing will need to find its place in a much more environmentally friendly way. Sustainable scalable modalities such as neutral atom computing are gaining popularity in the quantum field due to rapid advances in technical performance and relatively small environmental footprint: a fully neutral atom system fits in a typical conference room and consumes less energy than a single data center rack.

2025: a big leap forward

As we approach 2025, the quantum computing industry is on the cusp of a major transformation. The move from physical to logical qubits will be a game-changer, addressing the challenges of error rates and scalability that have held quantum computing back for years. With forward-thinking companies leading the way, the next generation of quantum systems will be more stable, durable, and powerful than ever before.

This transition will open the door to a new era of quantum computing, in which previously unsolvable problems are tackled head-on. By the end of 2025, we may witness the evolution of quantum computing from theoretical promise to practical reality, transforming industries and reshaping the future of technology.

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