New poll shows Trump and Kamala at DEAD HEAT in key state that could SWING election
A second poll in 24 hours shows Donald Trump tied with Kamala Harris in one of the crucial Midwestern swing states that could influence the election.
A Marist College poll released just after midnight on Thursday found Harris ahead of Trump in Wisconsin and Michigan, and the rivals are statistically tied in Pennsylvania.
Trump won all three so-called “blue wall” states from Democrat Hillary Clinton in 2016, giving him a victory in the Electoral College.
In 2020, President Joe Biden ensured that the three states returned to the Democratic Party.
The poll shows Harris ahead of Trump by five points in Michigan, 52 percent to 47 percent, with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.1 percentage points.
A second poll in 24 hours shows Donald Trump tied with Kamala Harris in one of the crucial Midwestern swing states that could tip the election.
A Marist College poll released just after midnight on Thursday found Harris ahead of Trump in Wisconsin and Michigan, and the rivals statistically tied in Pennsylvania.
Harris has a small lead in Michigan with independents and a larger lead with black voters and women voters. Trump leads in the state with white voters and men.
In Wisconsin, where Trump and Harris were tied in Wednesday’s key poll, Harris holds a one-point lead, 50 percent to 49 percent. However, the margin of error of plus or minus 3.3 percentage points remains well within the score.
Harris had a larger lead among independents in Wisconsin (51 percent to 47 percent) than in Michigan (49 to 47), and she even had a lead over Trump among white and male voters.
In Pennsylvania, however, the two cannot be separated, with a 49-49 tie and a margin of error of plus or minus 2.9 percentage points.
Trump has a 49 percent lead to Harris’s 45 percent among independent voters, while he has male and white voters ahead of him. Harris, on the other hand, has a lead among female and non-white voters.
A Quinnipiac University poll released earlier on Wednesday shows Harris ahead of Trump in Pennsylvania and Michigan, while they are tied in Wisconsin.
Harris now holds a six percentage point lead in Pennsylvania in that poll — 51 percent to 45 percent — while Green Party candidate Jill Stein and Libertarian Party candidate Chase Oliver each hold 1 percent.
The margin of error in Pennsylvania is plus or minus 2.7 percent.
The poll shows Harris ahead of Trump by five points in Michigan, 52 percent to 47 percent, with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.1 percentage points.
Trump won all three so-called “blue wall” states from Democrat Hillary Clinton in 2016, giving him a victory in the Electoral College
In Michigan, Harris has a five-point lead over Trump, 50 percent to 45 percent, while Stein gets 2 percent of the vote.
Her lead is just outside the margin of error of plus or minus 3.3 percent.
In Wisconsin, Harris holds a 1-point lead — 48 percent to Trump’s 47 percent — while Stein received 1 percent of the vote.
That poll had a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percent.
Voters in the three states narrowly believe that Trump is the best leader on the economy and immigration, but that Harris is by far the best when it comes to abortion.
In Pennsylvania, 57 percent say Harris would do a better job of handling the abortion issue, compared to 38 percent who see Trump as the best.
In Michigan, 53 percent said Harris and 42 percent said Trump. In Wisconsin, 53 percent also said Harris, while 40 percent said Trump.
Harris had an edge when asked which candidate was best for “preserving democracy.”
She held a narrow lead when Americans in the three states were asked which candidate would best handle a crisis.
In Pennsylvania, 49 percent said Harris and 47 percent said Trump.
In Michigan, 51 percent said Harris, 47 percent said Trump, and in Wisconsin — where Harris has the smallest lead — 49 percent said Harris and 48 percent said Trump.
The three Midwestern states are among seven states considered crucial to the race, along with Arizona, Georgia, Nevada and North Carolina.
Biden won six of seven elections in 2020 on his way to the White House.
If Harris loses Pennsylvania or Wisconsin, she would need to retain Arizona, Georgia and Nevada or take North Carolina to keep the White House for the Democrats.
Harris returns to Wisconsin to campaign on Friday, while Trump travels to Pennsylvania for a rally on Monday evening.