The eyes of the world will be on Pennsylvania on November 5, with the battleground state potentially deciding who will win the 2024 election.
The recent DailyMail.com poll in the state shows Donald Trump and Kamala Harris tied at 47 percent, meaning the eventual winner will likely be decided by a razor-thin margin.
In 2020, it took four days to count the results from the Keystone State, securing Joe Biden with victory.
The Commonwealth is crucial for both Donald Trump and Kamala Harris to win the White House, and a crucial question for voters is: will the election be fair?
According to our new poll, most Pennsylvanians are confident that the integrity of their count will remain intact. But some Trump voters are skeptical.
Seventy-one percent of voters agreed that Pennsylvania’s elections would be “conducted in a fair and secure manner,” according to a new Daily Mail/JL Partners poll.
Republican presidential candidate, former President Donald Trump, gestures as he concludes his speech during a campaign event at the Butler Farm Show, Saturday, October 5, 2024,
Only 20 percent of all likely voters in the poll said the election would not be conducted in a free or fair manner. Only nine percent say they don’t know.
The poll of 800 likely voters in Pennsylvania was conducted between October 5 and 8.
Thirty-five percent of Pennsylvania voters who plan to vote for Trump in 2024 believe the election will not be secure and fair, while 53 percent of them express confidence in the system. Twelve percent say they don’t know.
The same number of those who voted for the former president in 2020 also consider it at risk of fraud.
Former President Donald Trump has urged his supporters to “flood the vote” to prevent any form of election fraud.
“You need to get your friends together and vote because, you know, they’re pulling a lot of tricks on this particular other side,” Trump told his supporters at a rally in Butler, Pennsylvania, earlier this month, urging them to vote for him to help increase the score.
‘We can’t let it happen. We can’t let it happen again,” he said.
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Supporters react during a campaign rally for Democratic presidential candidate and U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris in Erie, Pennsylvania.
Trump vocally protested the 2020 election results in Pennsylvania, claiming Democrats had weaponized the mail-in voting system to cheat. The Trump campaign unsuccessfully tried to challenge the election results in Pennsylvania, claiming ballot irregularities.
“If the election doesn’t go Trump’s way – or if the margins are razor-thin – the ingredients are all in place for a toxic electoral process that could cast doubt on the outcome,” James Johnson, co-founder of JL.Partners, told DailyMail. com. the findings of the research.
Johnson said the Daily Mail model showed a 30 percent change in a recount in at least one state.
“That is not negligible and indicates that a drama is brewing,” he concluded.
Dave Westrom, 62, spoke about the election with DailyMail.com as he waited for Trump to appear for a town hall in Oaks, Pennsylvania.
“I think there is only one issue with this election, and that is whether there is rigging or not,” he said. “And I don’t think Republicans are very smart, and I don’t think they’ve done enough to take steps to make sure this doesn’t happen.”
Westrom wore a T-shirt that read “I need new conspiracy theories.” My old ones have come out.” He said he was skeptical about election polls that indicated it would be a close election.
“I don’t believe the polls right now because I think they’re trying to convince everyone that this is really close so that when the election happens they can do what they did in 2020,” he said.
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Supporters attend a town hall with Republican presidential candidate, former President Donald Trump, at the Greater Philadelphia Expo Center
Dave Westrom, 62, waits for a Trump campaign event in Oaks, Pennsylvania
Democratic presidential candidate Vice President Kamala Harris (left) greets a supporter after speaking at a campaign rally at the Erie Insurance Arena, in Erie, Pennsylvania.
Harris supporters appear to have more confidence in the election system, as the poll found that only six percent said they did not trust their election system and six percent did not know. Eighty-seven percent of Harris supporters said they have confidence in the existing system.
Pennsylvania is considered the top prize for presidential campaigns because its 19 electoral college votes will help both candidates win easily.
Voting laws in Pennsylvania remain largely unchanged as of 2020, as divided state legislatures were unable to agree to substantive reforms to election laws.
The Supreme Court of Pennsylvania refused in early October to decide two different rules for mail-in ballots, as the ACLU tried to challenge a rule that requires ballots to be properly dated in order to count.
“This Court will not impose or approve any substantive changes to existing laws and procedures while elections are still taking place,” the court order said.
The court also declined to rule on a practice in which some counties notified voters if their ballot contained an error that required it to be corrected in order to be counted.