Donald Trump now leads the polls in five of the six key swing states – beating Joe Biden on key issues like the economy, immigration and national security, a new NYTimes poll shows.
Former President Trump is ahead of voters in Nevada, Georgia, Arizona, Michigan and Pennsylvania by margins of at least three to 10 percentage points.
Wisconsin is currently the only swing state where Biden had a two-point lead, according to the new US state television poll New York Times and Siena College.
Arizona, Georgia, Nevada and Pennsylvania were four of the states where the Democrat defeated the Republican in their 2020 White House showdown.
The poll found that two-thirds of the electorate see the country going in the wrong direction under Biden, and that the multiracial and multigenerational coalition with Kamala Harris is not having the same positive effect as in 2020.
Only 37 percent of people say they trust Biden with the economy, compared to 59 percent in Trump — which is one of the biggest gaps on the issue, the polls suggested.
Biden’s boast of “Bidenomics” also falls short — with a measly two percent saying the economy was “excellent” during his term.
According to statistics, young voters under thirty prefer Biden by just one percentage point – and men prefer Trump by double the margin than women prefer Biden.
Meanwhile, Biden’s appeal to Hispanic voters is in the single digits — and traditionally Democratic black voters now register 22 percent support for Trump.
The NYTimes described the shift as “a level unseen in presidential politics for a Republican in modern times” and described the poll as a “gradual racial realignment” between the two parties.
The move away from Biden shows that Trump, despite the sensational indictment on four counts of criminal charges, would win more than 300 Electoral College votes this time next year.
According to the survey, voters at all income levels believed that policies under Biden had hurt them personally (18 points disadvantage), while Trump’s policies had helped them (17 points advantage).
According to the data, Biden’s senile age of 80 also played a major role. 71 percent of pollsters – from every demographic group – said he was “too old.”
By comparison, only 39 percent thought Trump, 77, was too old.
Voters also favored Trump over Biden on immigration, national security and today’s Israel Palestine by 12, 12 and 11 points, respectively.
The new data is similar, but shows some important differences compared to the New Morning Consult/Bloomberg survey released last week.
In those polls, Trump is ahead of Biden among registered voters in Arizona, Georgia, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.
Trump also led Biden in North Carolina, a state that went for Trump in 2016 and 2020.
The new Morning Consult/Bloomberg statistics show Biden leading in Nevada – while the NYT/Siena data shows Trump leading in that state.
Despite the differences, two surveys suggest the presidential race will be close on the contested political battlefields.
Voters favored Trump over Biden on immigration, national security and today’s Israel Palestine by 12, 12 and 11 points respectively
While Biden has touted the magic of “Bidenomics,” 51 percent of swing-state voters said they thought the national economy was better off during the Trump years, according to the New Morning Consult/Bloomberg survey.
Going forward, 49 percent said they would trust Trump with the economy, while 35 percent said the same about Biden.
Only 26 percent of voters said Bidenomics has been good for the economy, while 49 percent said Biden’s policies have been bad.
Among swing-state voters who registered the economy as their No. 1 issue, only 14 percent say Bidenomics is working, while 65 percent say it is not.
Trump is most dominant on immigration, followed by the economy, then crime, US-China relations, weapons, the Russia-Ukraine war, regulation of technology companies, and even has a four-point lead on infrastructure, despite Biden’s bipartisan infrastructure bill is one of his signature legislative achievements.
Biden often mocks Trump for being involved in a scandal whenever the Republican president tried to hold an infrastructure week at the White House.
Biden’s most dominant issue is mitigating climate change, followed by abortion, health care, democracy, Social Security and Medicare, and he has a slight lead over Trump on education and schools – despite Republicans having some political success in bringing up issues like critical race theory. and parents have more control over the primary and secondary school curriculum.
But swing state voters ranked the economy as their top issue, with about three in four saying it was heading in the wrong direction.
A ‘red wave’ was predicted last year, but Democrats ultimately retained control of the Senate and Republicans only flipped a few seats in the House of Representatives.
Moreover, former President Barack Obama faced similarly dismal polling a year after his 2012 election victory against Republican Mitt Romney.
“After these historic midterms, President Biden’s campaign is hard at work reaching and mobilizing our winning coalition of voters on a winning, popular agenda more than a year later,” Biden campaign spokesman Kevin Munoz said.
“We will win in 2024 by putting our heads down and doing the work, not by worrying about a poll,” he added.
Last week, Trump predicted he would win the Republican presidential caucuses in Iowa in January against DeSantis, brushing aside his advisers’ caution not to exaggerate expectations.
The former president’s confidence came despite greeting his Iowa audience in Sioux City with the wrong name. He named the location “Sioux Falls,” which is actually a city in South Dakota.
“I always say we’re going to win Iowa. My people said you can’t assume that,” Trump told his audience at the ornate Orpheum Theater in Sioux City, Iowa.
According to statistics, young voters under 30 prefer Biden by just one percentage point – and men prefer Trump by double the margin than women prefer Biden.
“Iowa is absolutely not voting against Trump,” he said, noting the economic benefits to farm states from the tariffs his administration imposed on China.
And yet, as Trump took the stage, he warmly greeted a city more than 80 miles north, and across the state line, from South Dakota. He said, “Hello to a place where we have done very well, Sioux Falls. Thank you.’
A few minutes later he realized the blunder and corrected himself.
It was Trump’s eighth campaign event in Iowa in just over a month, part of the former president’s accelerated fall schedule ahead of the nation’s first caucuses in January.
Trump’s speech in Sioux City, the heart of Republican-ridden Western Iowa, followed last month’s events in Eastern and Central Iowa, where he has drawn thousands of people as his team has tried to create a more organized campaign than in 2016.