Markets predict UK interest rates could hit 6% by end of year

Homeowners face even more mortgage woes as markets predict interest rates could hit 6% by year end

Homeowners faced further mortgage problems yesterday as markets predicted interest rates could hit 6 percent by the end of the year.

It came after official data showed UK wages rose at their fastest pace ever outside of the pandemic in the three months to April.

Median wages excluding bonuses rose 7.2 percent during this period, according to the Office for National Statistics (ONS) — though wages fell 1.3 percent in real terms due to inflation.

The jump in wages shook nerves at the Bank of England, which has previously warned of large wage increases for workers that could fuel price increases.

This phenomenon is known as a ‘wage-price spiral’ and increases the pressure on the central bank to raise interest rates to control inflation.

Markets predicted interest rates could hit 6 percent by the end of the year [File image]

But while higher rates are good news for savers, mortgage holders are faced with increasingly higher repayment costs.

Santander this week became the latest major lender to temporarily halt its new mortgage deals due to “market conditions.” The higher costs of mortgages are also hitting the rental market, with landlord profits at their lowest level in 16 years.

Estate agents Savills warned there was a ‘real risk’ that pressure on incomes could push more landlords to sell.

The Bank of England has raised interest rates 12 times since December 2021, when it stood at 0.1 percent, in an effort to curb inflation.

Another rate hike could come next week, with financial markets predicting the Bank will raise rates from 4.5 percent to at least 4.75 percent, the highest level since 2008.

They also predict rates will be at least 5.75 percent by the end of 2023 and could reach as high as 6 percent for the first time since early 2001, according to data platform Refinitiv.

David Hollingworth, of L&C Mortgages, said yesterday’s data would be “no comfort to mortgage borrowers”.

“It will add more upward pressure… and exacerbate an already fast-moving market,” he added.

A third of voters blame the government for skyrocketing interest rates, a YouGov poll found. Chancellor Jeremy Hunt said yesterday: ‘We are very aware of the pain many families are feeling.

“The most important thing we can do to ease the pressure on families is to support the Bank of England in fighting inflation and that is the number one priority.”

Downing Street said lenders should be prepared to help mortgage holders struggling because of rising interest rates.

What to do if you need a mortgage

Borrowers who need to find a mortgage because their current fixed-rate contract is about to expire, or because they have agreed on a home purchase, should explore their options as soon as possible.

This is Money’s best mortgage interest calculator powered by L&C that can show you deals that match your mortgage and property value

What if I have to borrow again?

Borrowers should compare rates, speak with a mortgage broker and be prepared to trade to secure a rate.

Anyone with a fixed-rate contract expiring in the next six to nine months should consider how much it would cost them to re-mortgage now — and consider getting a new deal.

Most mortgage agreements allow fees to be added to the loan and are not charged until it is closed. By doing this, borrowers can secure a rate without paying expensive arrangement fees.

What if I buy a house?

Those with an agreed home purchase should also aim to secure rates as soon as possible so they know exactly what their monthly payments will be.

Homebuyers should be careful not to overextend themselves and be prepared for the possibility that house prices could fall from their current highs, due to higher mortgage rates limiting people’s borrowing capacity.

Compare mortgage payments

The best way to compare mortgage rates and find the right deal for you is to talk to a good real estate agent.

You can use our best mortgage interest calculator to display deals that match your home value, mortgage size, term and fixed interest needs.

However, bear in mind that rates can change quickly, so if you need a mortgage it’s advice to compare rates and then speak to an estate agent as soon as possible so they can help you find the right one mortgage for you.

> Check out the best fixed rate mortgages you can apply for

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