Kamala Harris seizes momentum in final polls after bombshell Iowa survey rocks Trump campaign
Kamala Harris has seized momentum against Donald Trump in the final days of his campaign in what could be one of the closest presidential elections in history.
The vice president took a break from rallies in swing states for a surprise cameo on Saturday Night Live that had her laughing.
As she woke up Sunday to prepare for a church service in Detroit and for events on critical battlefields, she was buoyed by indications that the tide was turning in her favor.
The findings caused a ripple effect, especially in the “Blue Wall” states in the Midwest, which are crucial for Harris if she wants to take the keys to the White House.
A latest New York Times poll shows Trump trailing Harris in four crucial swing states: Georgia, Nevada, North Carolina and Wisconsin.
They are tied in Michigan and Pennsylvania and Trump is ahead by one point in Arizona. It’s a razor-thin race with just two days to go until Election Day.
Kamala Harris has seized momentum over Donald Trump in the final days of his campaign in what could be one of the closest presidential elections in history
The latest results follow a shocking poll released Saturday evening that showed Trump trailing Harris by three points in Iowa, a solidly red state.
The vice president is also closing the gap with Trump in the betting markets, a sign of momentum for her in the final days of the campaign.
The former president’s chances plummeted overnight after the results of the Des Moines Register poll were announced.
But in the early hours of Sunday his chances improved slightly, with a small gap still between him and Harris.
DailyMail.com’s polling partners, JL Partners, have also seen movement in their election model after the stunning Iowa poll.
A latest New York Times poll shows Trump trailing Harris in four critical swing states: Georgia, Nevada, North Carolina and Wisconsin
The results have had a ripple effect in the Midwest in our model, shifting Michigan from “TOSSUP TRUMP” to “TOSSUP HARRIS.”
Wisconsin also sees a two-point drop for Trump, but that’s not enough to change it from “TOSSUP TRUMP.”
However, the movement is small. So the overall result is that Trump remains the favorite to win the Electoral College. And when the simulation runs, it wins 62.4 percent of the time.
In his briefing note, JL Partners data scientist Callum Hunter writes: ‘Over the past 24 hours we have seen a series of moves against Trump in the betting markets (moves not reflected in all models) as a result of the Selzer Iowa poll.
“Despite this fact, things haven’t really changed in our model, as an Emerson poll was published around the same time. Despite Selzer’s accuracy score, things are balanced out by the Emerson poll AND the correlations between states that prevent the model from being swept away on a large scale due to a single poll in one state.
“The model relies more on underlying patterns in comparable states than on knee-jerk reactions to individual polls. Although things have come to a standstill at headline levels, the Rustbelt states are still moving toward Harris and may continue to do so tomorrow. I’ll keep you informed.’
Supporters of the Republican presidential candidate and Trump attend a parade in West Palm Beach, Florida, with 48 hours until Election Day
Trump gathered in Litiz, Pennsylvania, on Sunday morning and spoke for several minutes about the bulletproof glass in front of him
Trump rebuked the latest polls in Iowa on Sunday with a Truth Social post in which he said, “No president has done more for FARMERS and the great state of Iowa than Donald J. Trump.”
He also continued to make preemptive claims that Democrats plan to win by “cheating” this cycle.
To prevent this, the former president said the results of the 2024 presidential election must be finalized no later than the evening of Election Day, November 5, at 11 p.m.
Any free time after that date, Trump claims, will be used by Democrats to “cheat.”
“I don’t know what’s going to happen, but for future elections – I won’t even be a part of it – but you damn well should go to paper ballots, you should go to voter ID and you should have the election is at nine hours past,” Trump said in Lititz, Pennsylvania.
‘I now hear that it will take weeks. Can you imagine?’
“And what do you think happens during those twelve days?” Trump questioned the crowd, and they shouted back, “They’re cheating.”
“These elections have to be – they have to be decided on Tuesday night at 9:00, 10:00 and 11:00.”