It’s the ‘Boys vs Girls’ election as candidate soars to 13-point lead with one gender
It will be a huge sprint to the finish line for Donald Trump and Kamala Harris, as the presidential candidates have just two months to go until Election Day.
With just 63 days left until the 2024 election season, the vice president is finding himself increasingly favored when it comes to a certain group of voters.
Harris now has a 13-point lead over Trump among women, according to the latest ABC/Ipsos poll. Harris was at 54 percent, while Trump was at 41 percent.
While neither candidate saw much of a surge during their nominating conventions this summer, the gender divide helps Harris in the tough race.
This is also because reproductive rights are an important theme in the campaign.
Kamala Harris has seen an increase in support among women since the convention
The polls showed Harris with a 50 percent to 46 percent lead among Americans and 52 percent to 46 percent among likely voters.
In terms of the gender gap, Harris has a 13-point lead among women, while Trump has only a five-point lead among men. That’s not statistically significant.
The shift, according to the polls, largely occurred after the convention. Before accepting the nomination in Chicago, Harris had a six-point lead among women. The shift brings her more in line with previous gender alignments.
Much of the gender shift after the convention occurred among white people.
Trump went from a 13-point lead among white women to a lead of just two points, a statistically even race with Harris. At the same time, the gap among white men went from 13 points to 21 points for Trump.
Two women hold signs in support of the Harris-Walz presidential ticket during the vice presidential campaign in Detroit on August 7, 2024
A group of women support Donald Trump during a rally in Johnstown, PA on August 30
Americans trust Harris to do better overall.
However, Trump leads on the economy, inflation, immigration and the war in Gaza. The candidates are tied on crime.
Harris has a big advantage when it comes to trust in performing abortions, with a 16-point lead: 47 percent to 31 percent.
Even when Americans were asked who they trust more when it comes to Supreme Court nominations, she came out on top.
The issue of abortion and reproductive rights has been at the center of the campaign since the Supreme Court overturned Roe v. Wade in June 2022.
It was one of the key issues that helped Democrats retain the Senate in the midterm elections and avoid bigger losses in the House of Representatives.
Harris has made the issue one of her top priorities for the 2024 campaign, while Trump remains undecided about how to address it and the implications of ending Roe.
Trump has boasted of nominating the Supreme Court justices who helped overturn Roe. But he has struggled for months to formulate a clear position on whether he would support a federal abortion ban.
Earlier this year, the former president said abortion access should be left up to the states, after previously indicating he was open to federal restrictions.
Last week, the former president caused confusion over whether he would vote in Florida for a proposal to lift the state’s six-week abortion ban, before making it clear he would vote against it in his home state.
Women wearing jackets that read “#4 Women” at the Democratic National Convention. It’s a reference to Florida Amendment Four, the Right to Abortion Initiative, which will be on the state’s ballot in November.
But in a separate appeal to female voters last week, Trump also announced a policy that would see his administration ensure that the full cost of IVF would be covered by the government or insurance if he were elected to a second term. He did not, however, provide specifics on how this would be enforced or paid for.
IVF and access to fertility treatments have been another hot topic since the Alabama Supreme Court ruled earlier this year that frozen embryos are children, creating chaos and questions about IVF access in the state before the state legislature took action to protect it.
Meanwhile, Harris’ campaign launched a reproductive freedom bus tour Tuesday that will start just down the street from where Trump lives in Palm Beach, Florida. The tour plans to make more than 50 stops, as Democrats campaign heavily on access to reproductive care.
Other issues Harris led on included health care, protecting democracy, gun violence and race relations.