- The Nintendo Switch 2 will probably be a great success
- DFC Intelligence claims that there is only room for one Nintendo competitor in the next console generation
- It is unclear whether this will be Sony or Microsoft
As the Nintendo Switch 2 draws closer, everyone is wondering whether Sony or Microsoft will be the Japanese giant’s biggest competitor in the next console generation.
According to industry analysts at market research firm DFC Intelligence, it’s too early to say whether Sony hardware currently has a “slight lead” thanks to its strong following and attractive IP catalogue.
The information comes from recent data from the company Video Games Market Report and Forecast to 2024which chronicles the trajectory of the gaming industry over the past year and predicts where it could go. Importantly, the report does not take into account the mobile gaming market, which is estimated to generate approximately $75 billion in revenue.
The report suggests we’re on the cusp of record growth in the rest of the games industry, largely driven by the launch of “two of the biggest products ever” – the Nintendo Switch 2 and Grand Theft Auto6. According to the report, the Nintendo Switch 2 could have “significantly stronger launch sales” than its predecessor, although it will be difficult to beat the record of 27 million Nintendo Switch sales in 2020.
It then asks which company will be Nintendo’s biggest competitor, suggesting that “it will probably only be successful with one system” besides the Nintendo Switch 2. Sony and Microsoft are both expected to release new consoles between 2026 and 2028.
The company says it’s “too early to know which other system will succeed,” but claims Sony has a “slim lead” thanks to its “loyal base and strong Sony IP.”
That said, Microsoft is reportedly still in a strong position thanks to its status as a software publisher. It may have “failed” with the Xbox Series hardware. .