How you can still make money from the world’s new biggest company: Nvidia shares are up 3,477% in a year — but experts say it’s not too late to invest. Read our guide

It’s the stock market success story of the century – and one that will shape the rest of our lives.

Since going public on the eve of the millennium, computer chip designer Nvidia has come from nowhere to become the largest company in the world.

The remarkable milestone was passed yesterday as the share price soared to a new high, overtaking tech giant Microsoft and valuing the Silicon Valley pioneer at $3.34 trillion (£2.6 trillion).

To put that into context, Nvidia’s stock market valuation now exceeds the annual output of the entire UK economy.

It’s been a truly stratospheric rise.

In February, Nvidia became the fastest company ever to go from $1 trillion to $2 trillion. Amazingly, it only lasted eight months.

Jensen Huang, 61, the Taiwan-born electrical engineering graduate who founded Nvidia along with microchip designers Chris Malachowsky and Curtis Priem

Nvidia originally made computer chips for video game software, but has since expanded its horizons to dominate the AI ​​sector

Nvidia originally made computer chips for video game software, but has since expanded its horizons to dominate the AI ​​sector

The latest surge means the company – whose chips have accelerated the meteoric rise of artificial intelligence (AI) – has seen its share price rise from less than $4 in June 2019 to almost $136 today. That’s an incredible increase of 3,477 percent in five years.

Can UK investors still make a profit on Nvidia shares, or have you missed the boat if you don’t own them yet?

Experts say there may be more good gains to be had, even if the shares aren’t for the faint-hearted.

“We thought for some time that Nvidia would become the most valuable company in the world,” said Stephen Yiu, who manages the £1.1 billion Blue Whale Growth Fund.

“By overtaking Microsoft, it has now reached that remarkable milestone.”

Yiu has put his money where his mouth is – and has made ‘over £100 million’ in just three years from backing the AI ​​pioneer.

But the company’s latest move has surprised even him.

He recently thought it would take Nvidia another two years to become the world’s largest company… it took just over two weeks.

Can Nvidia’s great performance continue? Yiu, for one, is happy to keep it as his fund’s largest holding.

He argues that investors are still too focused on the microchip side of the business, while overlooking the importance of Nvidia’s associated software, which he thinks will likely see faster revenue growth over the next decade.

Experts have been busy raising their price targets following Nvidia’s latest stock spike.

Rosenblatt Securities analyst Hans Mosesmann thinks the shares could reach $200, which would put Nvidia’s value within the $5 trillion range.

He argues that investors are still too focused on the microchip side of the business, while overlooking the importance of Nvidia’s associated software, which he thinks will likely see faster revenue growth over the next decade.

Ark Invest’s Cathie Wood and an early back at Nvidia think the AI ​​software market could be worth $13 trillion by 2030.

Wood famously sold Nvidia last year, a decision that is estimated to have cost its flagship technology fund up to $800 million in potential profits.

Ark Invest’s Cathie Wood and an early back at Nvidia think the AI ​​software market could be worth $13 trillion by 2030.

Wood famously sold Nvidia last year, a decision that is estimated to have cost its flagship technology fund up to $800 million in potential profits.

“Counting the next four largest companies in the world as customers – Apple, Alphabet, Amazon and Microsoft – is certainly a sign of a company that offers a leading product that cannot be ignored,” he adds.

While Nvidia shares don’t look ridiculously overvalued right now, “they can’t keep going up in a straight line forever,” said Derren Nathan, head of equity research at investment platform Hargreaves Lansdown.

One risk is that governments – concerned about the risks to society and even humanity itself – may try to restrict AI.

Rather than trying to pick individual winners by putting all your chips on one bet, experts recommend that you spread your risk by putting money into a fund with shares in Nvidia or AI in general.

“Fortunately, there are plenty of AI-themed investment funds on offer,” says Dan Coatsworth, investment analyst at investment platform AJ Bell.

In addition to the Blue Whale Growth Fund, there is Polar Capital’s £580 million AI fund, which has Nvidia as its largest holding and makes up 6.3 percent of the portfolio.

“The fund provides broad exposure and prioritises companies that play a significant role in or benefit from AI,” says Coatsworth. These include Microsoft, Amazon, Micron Technology and Advanced Micro Devices.

Nvidia is also the largest component of the tech stock-heavy Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust, at 8 percent. Experts say other technology funds to consider include Axa Framlington Global Technology, Fidelity Global Technology, Janus Henderson Global Technology Leaders and Allianz Technology Trust.

Investing in technology funds is easy through a share fund Isa, a self-managed personal pension (Sipp) or a general investment account.

UK investors can buy US shares through an online broker, but may pay higher trading or administration fees. UK-based shareholders of US companies must also complete a W-8 BEN form, which allows them to pay a reduced tax rate on the investment.

How could a start-up without a business plan, founded in a restaurant in California, win everything? And can UK private investors get a piece of the action?

Nvidia is the brainchild of Jensen Huang – a Taiwan-born electrical engineering graduate whose parents sent him to the US as a child – and two microchip designers, Chris Malachowsky and Curtis Priem.

They founded Nvidia in 1993 in a Denny’s restaurant in San Jose, in the heart of Silicon Valley.

The plan was to call their company NVision – until they discovered that name came from a toilet paper manufacturer. Huang, who once worked as a waiter and dishwasher at a Denny’s outlet for $2.65 an hour, suggested Nvidia instead, based on the Latin word “invidia” meaning “envy.”

Since then, he has run the company and become one of the richest people in the world.

Nvidia’s main product is a graphics processing unit (GPU) – a wafer-thin circuit board with a powerful microchip at its core. These processors allow lightweight, energy-efficient personal computers and laptops to perform a large number of calculations at high speed.

For decades, Intel was the largest manufacturer of microchips, but Nvidia differs from its rival in several key ways.

Intel and others make industry-standard general-purpose chips, known as “central processing units” (CPUs), that handle all the main functions of a computer and produce one mathematical calculation at a time.

But Nvidia’s GPU can complete complex and repetitive tasks much faster, breaking them down into smaller components before processing them in parallel.

If CPUs are delivery vans delivering one package at a time, Nvidia’s GPUs are more like a fleet of high-speed motorcycles spreading through a city. That made them the perfect processors to power the dawning AI revolution.

Unlike Intel, Nvidia does not make its own chips – they are mainly outsourced to the Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company. Crucially, however, Nvidia not only designs the hardware, but also the software they run on.

“What Nvidia does for a living is not building the chip – we build the entire supercomputer, from the chip to the system, to the interconnects, the NVLinks, the networks, but very importantly the software,” says Huang, 61 .

This secret sauce software package is called Cuda. Nvidia’s chips were originally intended to improve computer graphics used by video gamers. The creation of Cuda in 2006 also allowed other universal applications to run on Nvidia chips.

Initially, AI was not one of them. In the early 2010s, AI was still a technological backwater where progress in areas such as speech and image recognition was slow.

Even less fashionable were ‘neural networks’: computer structures that mimic the functioning of the human brain.

Nvidia’s breakthrough came when the Cuda platform was championed by British-Canadian computer scientist and cognitive psychologist Geoffrey Hinton, dubbed the “godfather of AI.”

Two of his students trained a neural network to identify videos of cats using just two Nvidia boards. Google experts needed 16,000 CPUs to perform this feat. Machine learning had arrived.

The stunning results prompted Huang to go all-in on AI in 2013.

Nvidia’s GPUs were soon found in everything from smart cars to robotics and data centers, with customers ranging from Tesla to Microsoft and Amazon. One setback was a failed £31 billion bid to buy Cambridge-based chip designer Arm Holdings.

But Nvidia really came of age a year ago with the news that ChatGPT – Open AI’s chatbot – was powered by its supercomputers. This sent the stock into orbit.

The news sparked a frenzy among major tech companies and AI startups for Nvidia’s processors, leading to shortages that could last into next year.

On May 23, stellar results that exceeded market expectations increased the company’s value by $200 billion in just one day.

To meet the insatiable demand, Nvidia plans to launch a new generation of AI chips — codenamed Blackwell — later this year, each costing more than $30,000.

It can charge so much because of its stranglehold on the AI ​​chip market, with a market share of more than 80 percent.

This near-monopoly has turned Nvidia into a huge money machine, potentially fueling massive future share price gains.

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