How will Justin Trudeau’s divorce from wife Sophie affect his election chances?
Justin Trudeau’s shocking divorce from wife Sophie comes together after nearly two decades of marriage and three children.
The pair have been a prominent political power couple throughout the Canadian prime minister’s eight-year tenure.
Trudeau has yet to confirm whether he will run for a fourth term in the Canadian elections scheduled for October 2025.
The Liberal politician will now have to juggle a tense family life while running his country.
So how will changes in his martial status affect his next move and will the split affect his Election Day popularity ratings?
Justin Trudeau and wife Sophie Gregoire Trudeau (pictured at a Canada Day event in Ottawa on July 1) announced their separation on Wednesday after 18 years of marriage
They pledged to “remain a close-knit family with deep love and respect for each other and for all they had built”
When did Trudeau divorce his wife?
The Ottawa-born Prime Minister announced his divorce from Sophie Gregoire Trudeau on August 2, 2023, via an Instagram post in both English and French.
A spokesperson for Trudeau, 51, said their children would continue to live with him at Rideau Cottage after the split, while Sophie, 48, had already moved elsewhere in Ottawa by the time he announced their separation.
The couple will reportedly share joint custody of their three children: Xavier, 15, Ella Grace, 14, and Hadrian, 9.
The split came 18 years after they tied the knot in Montreal.
Trudeau met Sophie as a childhood friend and classmate of his older brother Michel, who was killed in an avalanche in 1998 at the age of 23.
They began dating in 2003 after reconnecting as adults and were engaged a short time after.
Why did the political power couple break up?
The couple gave no reason for their divorce and there has been no suggestion of a new partner on either side.
Their split appears to be amicable, with Trudeau presenting it as a mutual decision after “many meaningful and difficult conversations” together.
“We remain a close-knit family with deep love and respect for each other and for all that we have built and will continue to build,” he said in his announcement.
Trudeau and Gregoire (pictured Jan. 9 in Mexico City) gave no reason for their shock divorce
The Canadian Prime Minister has yet to confirm whether he will run for a fourth term in the next election in October 2025.
How might the decision affect his election chances?
Trudeau’s divorce is the first by a sitting Canadian prime minister since his own parents divorced in 1977, so there’s little precedent for how it could affect his political ratings.
However, it is safe to say that his wife has been an effective political asset to him over the years – often seen at his side in election campaigns.
She helped connect him with Canadians during his successful 2015 election campaign that propelled him to the presidency.
Trudeau also previously credited his family for keeping him “centered and grounded” as he held the nation’s highest office.
“Family time keeps me centered and grounded because I don’t do this job despite having kids, I do it because I have kids and I want to give them a better world,” he shared CTV news in a 2016 interview.
Trudeau’s indication that his political career is closely tied to his personal life suggests that his divorce could have a major impact on his future.
He has yet to confirm whether he will run for a fourth term in the Canadian elections scheduled for October 2025.
Public opinion of Trudeau took a turn for the worse over the summer as voters grapple with record inflation, and political analyst Lori Williams said Trudeau’s marital problems likely also played a role — and could drive his ratings down even further.
The couple shares three children together, two sons named Xavier James and Hadrien Gregoire, born in 2007 and 2014, and a daughter named Ella-Grace Margaret, born in 2009
They (pictured in 2015 after winning the general election) have been a prominent political power couple over the eight years in office as the Canadian Prime Minister
Trudeau previously credited his family (pictured at the 2016 Vancouver Pride Parade) with keeping him “centered and grounded” as he held the nation’s highest office.
The associate professor at Mount Royal University told CTV: “I would have to say that in the challenges they faced leading up to this announcement, obviously there would have been a lot of stress and distraction from political matters, just trying to deal with their problems. personal problems.
“So it may have had an impact that we haven’t seen, and it may continue into the future.”
However, Williams added that while the split could affect Trudeau’s mindset, it is unlikely to affect voters’ opinions.
“In Canada, unlike other political cultures, this is probably not the sort of thing that is subject to moral judgment,” she said.
“I think the concerns Canadians have are about whether a leader can handle the issues and challenges they face, and that will be a priority.”
“Even when Justin Trudeau’s father divorced his wife when he was prime minister, he successfully kept that private and it’s just part of Canadian history to set that aside for what it is,” she added.
How did Canadians react online to Trudeau’s divorce announcement?
Trudeau’s Instagram announcement sparked a mixed reaction — some people used it as a springboard to also announce their desires for a divorce from his job, while others came to his rescue.
“On behalf of Canada, I’d like a divorce too,” said one woman, while another thundered, “CANADA WANTS TO DIVORCE YOU TOO.”
Mount Royal University professor Lori Williams said Trudeau’s marital problems could have been a major distraction from his political affairs
One man questioned Trudeau’s competence to lead the country in light of the news, asking, “How can you lead a country if you can’t lead your own family?”
“Please separate from us.”
Another person shared the same sentiment, saying, “Can’t run your own household.”
Meanwhile, many people condemned the “haters” who criticized Trudeau’s post.
‘To wait. Shouldn’t Canadian be nice?’ said a woman. These comments are appalling. More than 50% of all marriages end in divorce. To grow up.’
“Prime Minister Trudeau and family will get through this whether the haters like it or not,” said another fan of the prime minister.
“He also needs to run a country and win elections so haters can keep hating because he doesn’t care what you all think and he shouldn’t.”
Others praised Trudeau for enduring “one of the hardest things to accept in a relationship” while having to make public announcements.