High Street to cut 225,000 jobs in just five years: Reeves urged for business rates reform to stem decline

Rachel Reeves is under increasing pressure to reform business rates as figures show 225,000 jobs have been lost on the High Street in the past five years.

The number of workers in retail has fallen from 3.1 million to less than 2.9 million since 2019, according to analysis of official data by the British Retail Consortium (BRC).

And a survey by the Institute of Directors (IoD) shows that hiring intentions for the wider economy are at their lowest level since the height of the pandemic in 2020, following Labour’s attack on national insurance (NI).

Retailers are suffering both from the NI raid – which they say will cost £7bn next year and which is at odds with the Labor manifesto – and from a business rates system they say is in desperate need of reform.

At the same time, they are hit by minimum wage increases. The BRC says that without changes to the business rates system, more jobs will be lost.

The issue has been highlighted by the Mail’s Save Our High Streets campaign.

Before the Budget, bosses had called on the Chancellor to extend Covid-era aid programmes. Instead, the rate reduction for catering and retail businesses was reduced to 40%

Retailers including Currys and Primark have already warned that rising staff costs means they will increasingly focus on automation.

BRC chief executive Helen Dickinson said: ‘The government’s promised reforms to business rates give it leverage to protect future investment and it is vital that they ensure no store pays more as a result of these reforms.

‘Without this, more stores will be forced to close, meaning fewer retail jobs will be created in communities across the country.’

The business rates system is a levy based on the rental value of a commercial property. This means that stores pay a premium compared to online giants like Amazon.

Before the Budget, bosses had called on the Chancellor to extend Covid-era support schemes, cutting their business rates by 75 per cent.

They also wanted to see the introduction of permanent reforms to the system that would create a level playing field.

Instead, the rate reduction for catering and retail businesses was reduced to 40 percent.

Reeves also announced plans aimed at reducing business rates for most High Street shops at the expense of larger commercial properties, which will have to pay more.

The idea is to capture large warehouses used by the likes of Amazon, but it could backfire as the proposals will also affect larger physical stores.

Retail companies aren’t the only employers under pressure to reduce labor costs.

Figures from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) yesterday showed that the number of workers across Britain fell by 35,000 in November.

And the number of vacancies fell by 31,000 to 818,000 in the three months to November, meaning there have been 29 consecutive periods of decline.

Alexandra Hall-Chen, chief employment policy adviser at the IoD, said the data “points to a worrying outlook for job creation in Britain”.

Borrowing costs are rising as hopes for a rate cut fade

Borrowing costs rose after stronger-than-expected wage growth appeared to slam the door on continued hopes of a rate cut before Christmas.

As official figures showed wages were 5.2 percent higher in the three months to October than a year earlier, traders also cut their bets on a rate cut in February, dealing a blow to millions of borrowers.

British government bond yields rose sharply, pushing the premium investors charged for buying 10-year British government bonds over German bonds close to levels not seen since German reunification in 1990.

The 5.2 per cent wage increase reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) was higher than the 4.9 per cent the previous month and higher than the 5 per cent predicted by economists.

Stronger-than-expected wage growth is causing a headache for the Bank of England amid fears it could fuel inflation.

As a result, markets see only a 7 percent chance of a rate cut at the Bank’s meeting tomorrow.

The chance of even a rate cut in February fell to less than 50 percent. The markets expect only two quarter-point interest rate cuts in 2025.

Yields on ten-year government bonds rose above 4.5 percent. The pound rose above $1.27 against the dollar.

Thomas Pugh of accountants RSM UK said: ‘The jump in wage growth is another nail in the coffin of a rate cut.’

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