A Republican strategist revealed that internal polling has arrived and operatives within President Donald Trump’s campaign are concerned they are “not where they need to be.”
Margaret Hoover appeared on CNN’s The Source on Wednesday and told host Kaitlan Collins that the early voting numbers indicate “real enthusiasm, which is hard to measure.”
“I think their internal factors are actually calming them down,” said Hoover, who worked on George W. Bush’s 2004 re-election campaign and Rudy Giuliani’s failed run for the White House in 2008.
“They have a lot of resources for polling – more than public media companies. And they’re probably seeing the same things that you’re talking about, which is that there’s a real groundswell in early voting,” she added.
A greater number of registered Democrats, more than 11 million, have voted so far, compared to 10.5 million registered Republicans, according to data from 25 states that report party registration.
Margaret Hoover said she has heard from Republican insiders that “there is concern about the Trump campaign … that turnout and enthusiasm numbers are not where they should be.”
Donald Trump and Kamala Harris are neck and neck nationally, with many swing states within a few percentage points or less
Given these numbers, Hoover said Republicans are telling her there is “concern” among Trump campaign officials.
“I’ve heard from Republicans that there is concern about the Trump campaign among the operatives who actually know the political tools that the turnout and enthusiasm numbers are not where they need to be,” Hoover said.
As Election Day approaches, less than a week away, Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris are neck and neck in most public polls, and according to Hoover, internal polls show much the same.
Nearly 60 million people have already voted in the 2024 election, including those who voted by mail and in person, according to the latest figures from the The University of Florida Elections Laboratory.
That is about 37 percent of the total turnout in the 2020 elections, in which more than 158 million people voted.
CNN commentator David Axelrod, who served in the Obama administration, reminded the panel that “this is a very close election.”
“Nobody knows what’s going to happen,” he said. “And next week we’ll know, hopefully what the answer is.”
People in Washington DC will begin early voting on October 29, 2024 at the Columbia Heights Community Center
Polling averages of The New York Times And FiveThirtyEight Harris has a national lead of up to 1.4 percentage points, while the RealClearPolitics on average, Trump has a lead of 0.4 points.
In all three aggregators, the closest swing states are Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin and Nevada.
Joe Biden won all four of these states in 2020.
Trump has a decisive lead on the betting markets: 58 percent of people on betting site Kalshi are betting their money on the prospect of him getting a second term.
Tarek Mansour, CEO of Kalshi, America’s first legal online election betting platform, said it has collected more than $92 million in bets related to the 2024 race.
‘We must certainly have confidence in the [wagering] markets,” Mansour told DailyMail.com this week.
Tarek Mansour, CEO of Kalshi, says election bettors are more accurate than pollsters because they are “in the game.”
Billionaire hedge fund manager Ken Griffin has said that former President Donald Trump is expected to win the election next week
Legendary investor Stan Druckenmiller has said the stock market is ‘convinced’ Donald Trump will win the presidential election
Top investors on the stock markets also seem convinced that Trump will become the next president.
Billionaire hedge fund manager Ken Griffin said that while he thinks Trump will prevail on Tuesday, he also believes the margin will be razor-thin.
Griffin has contributed about $100 million to the Republican Party this election cycle. Bloomberg reported.
Stan Druckenmiller, another hedge funder and founder of the Duquesne Family Office, said the market seems “very confident” the former president will win.
Some said the fact that shares of Trump’s media company, Trump Media & Technology (DJT), rose more than 22 percent after his Sunday rally at Madison Square Garden was a sign that Wall Street was preparing for another Trump term.
Since then, shares have stabilized and are down nearly five percent since the market opened Monday morning.