Data scientist who correctly called last election makes shock ‘blowout’ claim that will unnerve Donald Trump as Kamala Harris grows lead in key swing states

A data scientist who predicted the outcome of the 2020 presidential election expected a landslide victory for Democratic candidate Kamala Harris, a setback for former President Donald Trump’s hopes of reclaiming the White House.

Thomas Miller, a data scientist at Northwestern University, said Harris will defeat Trump overwhelmingly. He told Fortune magazine, “This vote was a huge defeat for Trump, and now it’s a huge defeat for Harris.”

Miller first gained attention when he accurately predicted the 2020 presidential election, using unconventional methods such as betting markets instead of traditional polls to predict the outcome.

He accomplished this by developing a model, based on 16 presidential elections, that converted the betting prices into census and electoral college projections.

This model shows a close correlation between the odds and the expected outcome.

According to Miller’s model, Harris would have 55% of the vote in September, giving her a significant lead in the Electoral College.

Miller’s analysis also found that support for Harris has increased in recent months, despite Trump taking the lead in June.

But there has been a huge shift since President Joe Biden was nominated, as the odds have changed dramatically.

His prediction came out when the latest poll of Quinnipiac University suggested that Harris is taking the lead in key swing states.

The poll found Harris with a six percentage point lead in Pennsylvania — 51 percent to 45 percent — a state seen as a potential deciding factor in the upcoming November election.

In Michigan, the poll shows Trump trailing Harris by 5 percentage points. The vice president has the support of 50 percent of voters, while the Republican presidential candidate has 45 percent.

In Wisconsin, Harris narrowly leads Trump with 48% of voter support, compared to 47%, the poll found.

It is unlikely that either candidate will win the presidential election while losing in all three swing states. That is a bleak prognosis for Trump and his campaign, according to the latest polls.

Trump won all three so-called “blue wall” states from Democrat Hillary Clinton in 2016, giving him an Electoral College victory. Meanwhile, President Joe Biden won them back to the Democratic column in 2020.

Voters in the three swing states narrowly believe that Trump is the better leader on the economy and immigration, but that Harris is by far the best when it comes to abortion.

According to a recent Quinnipiac University poll, Donald Trump is trailing Harris in the swing states of Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin

Data scientist Thomas Miller believes Harris will win in a landslide this November after accurately predicting the outcome of the 2020 presidential election

U.S. Vice President and Democratic presidential candidate Kamala Harris (R) shakes hands with former U.S. President and Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump during a presidential debate at the National Constitution Center in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, on September 10, 2024.

In September, Miller’s model showed Harris would get 55% of the vote, which would represent a significant lead in the Electoral College.

In Pennsylvania, 57 percent say Harris would do a better job of handling the abortion issue, compared to 38 percent who see Trump as the best.

In Michigan, 53 percent said Harris and 42 percent said Trump. In Wisconsin, 53 percent also said Harris, while 40 percent said Trump.

These states are often referred to as the “blue wall” because of their significance to Democratic candidates.

This comes after Harris received the support of megastar Taylor Swift last week, who endorsed the vice president shortly after the presidential debate.

The singer’s shocking announcement could have major implications for momentum, with election day just eight weeks away.