The chances of Kamala Harris scoring a ‘lucky seven’ and winning all the key swing states from Donald Trump in the November election are extremely slim.
While Trump appears to be gaining victory over Joe Biden in many states, polls show Harris gaining ground in some states and leading in others.
However, her chances of winning all seven of the toughest races (according to experts, Georgia, Arizona, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Michigan, North Carolina and Nevada) are quite slim.
According to British bookmaker William Hill, Harris has only a 50-to-1 chance of beating those states, which equates to a two percent chance.
Biden flipped Georgia, Arizona, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and Michigan from red to blue in 2020 to win, holding Nevada and losing North Carolina to defeat Trump.
The chances of Kamala Harris scoring a lucky seven and winning all the key swing states from Donald Trump in the November election are extremely slim
Harris has a fair to higher chance of winning all of these states on his own.
The current vice president’s chances of winning North Carolina are 69.2 percent, Michigan 66.7 percent, Wisconsin 61.9 percent, and Georgia and Pennsylvania 60 percent.
If Harris and Trump both received the same number of votes in the remaining races, Harris would have a 226-219 lead, given the seven states involved. She needs 270 votes to win.
Aside from Nevada and its six electoral votes, if Harris were to win four of the other six swing states, she would have enough votes to claim victory.
Based on the new numbers, Harris has erased the lead Trump built up in the states before President Biden withdrew from the race.
Still, according to a DailyMail.com poll released earlier this week, the former president still holds a two percentage point lead over the new Democratic candidate.
Other recent polls show the vice president rapidly gaining popularity, but our survey of 1,001 likely voters shows that 43 percent would vote for Trump if the election were held tomorrow. For Harris, 41 percent would vote.
With a margin of error of plus or minus 3.1 percent, the November elections are expected to be thrilling.
New findings from The New York Times suggest the two presidential candidates are now locked in neck-and-neck races in Arizona, Georgia, Nevada and North Carolina
Trump appeared to be running away with these states just a few weeks ago, now that new findings show Harris is widening his lead
A separate online survey revealed the qualities responsible for Trump’s lead, showing that voters still see him as the stronger, more charismatic candidate who is more likely to get things done.
Still, Harris outperforms Biden on every count. And it all suggests she is shaping up to be a more formidable opponent than the 81-year-old she replaced.
Harris was catapulted into the race after Biden announced last month that he was abandoning his re-election campaign.
Trump insiders were initially excited, expecting weeks of Democratic infighting. But the party quickly rallied behind the vice president and will present a united front at its convention in Chicago next week.
The result is a series of polls showing Harris has reversed or at least narrowed Trump’s clear lead in the polls.
The first presidential debate between the two will take place on September 10 in Philadelphia and will be moderated by ABC News.
The first vice presidential debate between Democratic Governor Tim Walz of Minnesota and Republican Senator J.D. Vance of Ohio will take place on October 1 in New York City and will be hosted by CBS.