According to the latest polls, Donald Trump and Kamala Harris split the swing states evenly.
Of the seven states that weigh the most, Arizona, North Carolina and Wisconsin are winning for Trump, Georgia, Michigan and Nevada for Harris, and Pennsylvania is the frontrunner.
The candidates’ performances in these states in November will determine the outcome of the 2024 presidential election. Both campaigns are doing everything they can to win over voters from the swing states.
There are 93 electoral votes up for grabs in the seven competitive states, but results from a new poll from Emerson College Polling/The Hill released Thursday show the two states are evenly matched.
A new swing state poll shows Donald Trump and Kamala Harris both won three states and are tied in one, resulting in a neck-and-neck race between the two frontrunners.
If Trump were to win the three states where he has a lead in the polls, he would get 37 Electoral College votes. The same goes for the three states where Harris is the favorite in the new poll.
In Nevada, where the candidates are tied, there are 19 votes up for grabs.
North Carolina leans red and Nevada leans blue, but the rest of the states are also very volatile and have seen narrow wins for presidential candidates in recent years.
In every swing state, the difference between Trump and Harris is within the poll’s margin of error.
The key voting group in the 2024 presidential election is likely to be independents and undecided voters in these key states.
When independent voters in the seven states were surveyed, Harris’ lead widened significantly.
Trump only has a lead among independent voters in Nevada, while Harris wins the other six states.
Donald Trump and Kamala Harris tour seven crucial states to try to win over undecided and independent voters
Nevada voted Democratic in 2016 and 2020 and has the least influence on the Electoral College of all the battleground states, with just six votes.
In the 2016 race between Trump and Hillary Clinton, Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin all voted Republican, with only Nevada going Republican.
But in the 2020 race between Trump and Joe Biden, five of the six states that had gone red in the previous election turned blue.
Only the southern state of North Carolina remained red.
Trump and Harris win the seven swing states in the final stretch to the 2024 presidential election.