Bombshell new poll shows the shocking results of how Trump would perform against several Biden replacements after disastrous debate performance
A majority of voters who watched the first 2024 presidential debate believed that Republican nominee Donald Trump could defeat several potential Democratic candidates, including Biden, if he were replaced.
The statement comes true a series of polls compiled by FiveThirtyEight, a company that uses statistical analysis to show the country’s location in various elections.
A group of polls from Data for Progress found Trump beating a host of major “surrogate candidates” for Biden, including California Gov. Gavin Newsom and Vice President Kamala Harris.
In the poll, Trump defeated Newsom 47 percent to 44 percent and Harris 48 percent to 45 percent.
Even grimmer news for Democrats was the poll’s prediction that Trump would also beat Biden, as the president’s campaign continues to evolve after Thursday’s disastrous debate.
A majority of voters who watched the first presidential debate believed that Republican nominee Donald Trump could beat multiple candidates besides Biden if he were replaced
The claim comes from a series of polls compiled by FiveThirtyEight, a company that uses statistics to show the state of affairs in various elections. The analysis looked at polls conducted in the wake of Biden’s debate performance on Thursday, as Democrats consider a possible replacement for him
In addition to Newsom and Harris, the Data for Progress poll, based on responses from more than 1,000 people, predicted that Trump would defeat Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg 47-44 if the election were held today.
Illinois Governor JB Pritzker also lost in a hypothetical election to Trump, receiving only 43 percent of the vote, compared to 46 percent for the Republican candidate.
Other candidates, such as Governor Gretchen Whitmer of Michigan and Senator Cory Booker of New Jersey, fared only slightly better, with both receiving 44 percent, compared to 46 percent for Trump, in the same sample that Data for Progress used.
Senator Amy Klobuchar of Minnesota and Governor Josh Shapiro of Pennsylvania also lost by a three percent margin when they faced off against Trump.
All evidence showed that Trump defeated a host of “substitutes,” including Gavin Newsom of California.
White House candidate Kamala Harris also fell when she ran against the former president, trailing by three points in a poll of 1,011 likely voters.
The latter two have been seen as potential Democratic presidential candidates in the past, but both have maintained their commitment to Biden.
The latest Data for Progress poll on Friday showed Trump beating Biden by a comfortable three percentage points, while a poll of 841 registered voters sponsored by the New York Post had Biden trailing by seven percentage points.
The vote comes amid uncertainty over the Democratic Party’s top pick as Biden’s troubled debate performance remains in question.
Experts say a replacement is possible, but unlikely, as the process would be complicated and open the door to losing a united front before Congress votes on nominees in August.
The Democratic National Committee’s official procedures for the convention, adopted in 2022, give the committee the authority to choose a new candidate if any of the ticket’s members die or withdraw.
Biden also has the power to drop out of the race himself – by releasing all the pledged delegates he has collected.
According to a count by The Associated Press, there are 3,894 of the 3,937 so far.
Should such a choice arise, delegates are free to vote for whomever they wish, with the six candidates mentioned above emerging as replacements.
Potential replacements such as Illinois Gov. JB Pritzker and Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro also lost badly when they ran against Trump, also by a three percent margin
White House Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg also lost to Trump by three percentage points, with November just weeks away
Other candidates, such as Governor Gretchen Whitmer of Michigan and Senator Cory Booker of New Jersey, did slightly better, albeit by only one percent – in the same sample used by Data for Progress.
The results come amid uncertainty over the Democratic Party’s top choice, as Biden’s faltering debate performance continues to be called into question
This step would lead to an open congress, something we no longer see in current politics.
Should Biden decide to withdraw, he would also like to support a prospective successor.
The most obvious choice would be Vice President Harris, who has reportedly been called a “work in progress” by her president.
A report from earlier this year further found that Harris was still struggling to penetrate what she called the “bubble” of Biden’s campaign thinking — something Michigan’s Whitmer and Newsom have also said frequently.
In the event of an open party convention, the nominee who receives the support of a majority of the party’s delegates would receive the support even if Biden does not appoint them as his successor.
As of this writing, the president has not expressed any plans to drop out of the race.
When asked about this prospect Friday during his campaign in North Carolina, he said, “I know I’m not a young man anymore. I don’t walk as easily as I used to, I don’t speak as fluently as I used to and I don’t debate as well as I used to.’
“But I know what I do know,” he continued, to thunderous applause. “I know how to tell the truth. I know right from wrong. I know how to do this job. I know how to get things done.”
“I know, like many Americans, that when you’re knocked down, you get back up,” he concluded.