Bill Gates quietly makes a $373 million bet on recovery of struggling sector that he thinks will boom in 2025

Billionaire philanthropist and Microsoft co-founder Bill Gates has made a bold move by betting $373 million on two major transportation companies in a sector he predicts will make a dramatic recovery by 2025.

Gates’ strategic gamble has led to widespread speculation about his vision for the future when it comes to global logistics and heavy transportation.

Despite Microsoft remaining the largest stake in the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation’s $45 billion portfolio, Gates, who is worth $103.1 billion, has sold nearly a quarter of his shares in the tech giant in the past year.

His foundation already includes big names like Berkshire Hathaway and Waste Management, but Gates recently made headlines by reducing his stake in these top holdings.

But its notable acquisitions in the third quarter include FedEx and Paccar, which is a sign of confidence in an industry facing significant headwinds.

The investments come at a time when the transportation sector is struggling with declining demand and market uncertainty.

The transportation sector is in turmoil, with the S&P 500 Transportation Index down 0.5% in 2024, falling far short of the impressive 23% gain of the overall S&P 500 – but Gates appears to see opportunity despite the setbacks.

His foundation purchased one million shares each of FedEx and Paccar, for a total of $373 million.

Billionaire philanthropist and Microsoft co-founder Bill Gates has taken a bold step by betting $373 million on two major transportation companies in an industry that has been struggling

Gates bought one million Paccar shares for about $100 each, representing a $100 million stake in the company

Gates bought one million Paccar shares for about $100 each, representing a $100 million stake in the company

The investment reflects Gates’ optimism that falling interest rates and an improving economy could lead to a recovery in transportation demand.

Gates purchased one million Paccar shares for about $100 each, representing a $100 million stake in the company.

Paccar is the maker of renowned truck brands including Peterbilt and Kenworth.

Known for their ability to carry more than 33,000 pounds, the trucks are the backbone of global trade, transporting everything from raw materials to consumer goods.

The company has a significant global market share of 31.1% in Class 8 trucks – vehicles that are crucial to the backbone of the economy.

While the company experienced a drop in truckload demand in early 2024, with third quarter revenue falling to $8.24 billion – a decline of 5.2%, orders rose 21% in November, indicating that the worst may be over.

Analysts believe this investment reflects Gates’ long-term confidence in the resilience of the trucking industry.

Gates’ even bigger bet was on FedEx, a global logistics giant that has done just that a turbulent year behind us.

Gates' even bigger bet was on FedEx, a global logistics giant that has had a turbulent year

Gates’ even bigger bet was on FedEx, a global logistics giant that has had a turbulent year

Despite a 10% gain during the year, the company disappointed investors with weaker-than-expected earnings and lowered its guidance for the 2025 fiscal year.

Despite a 10% gain during the year, the company disappointed investors with weaker-than-expected earnings and lowered its guidance for the 2025 fiscal year.

The company experienced a drop in truckload demand in early 2024, with third quarter revenue falling to $8.24 billion – down 5.2%, but November orders rose 21%, giving hope

The company experienced a drop in truckload demand in early 2024, with third quarter revenue falling to $8.24 billion – down 5.2%, but November orders rose 21%, giving hope

Despite a 10% gain, the company disappointed investors with weaker-than-expected earnings and lowered its expectations for the 2025 fiscal year.

Yet Gates again saw opportunity by purchasing another million shares at an average price of $273 each – an eye-watering investment of $273 million.

FedEx is currently undergoing a major transformation with its DRIVE initiative, aimed at streamlining operations and reducing costs by $2.2 billion.

The planned spin-off of the FedEx Freight division, which generated $9.4 billion in 2023, is expected to sharpen focus and fuel future growth.

While Gates’ $373 million bet may seem like a gamble on a struggling sector, industry experts suggest the move is much more calculated.

The US manufacturing sector, which has been shrinking for almost two years, is due for a recovery.

Falling interest rates are expected to fuel lending, investment and economic expansion, increasing demand for freight and logistics services.

Paccar is the maker of renowned truck brands including Peterbilt and Kenworth

Paccar is the maker of renowned truck brands including Peterbilt and Kenworth

Paccar is the maker of renowned truck brands including Peterbilt and Kenworth

Gates' investments signal confidence in a recovery in the transportation sector, fueled by a recovery in manufacturing and economic expansion, with both FedEx and Paccar set to benefit

Gates’ investments signal confidence in a recovery in the transportation sector, fueled by a recovery in manufacturing and economic expansion, with both FedEx and Paccar set to benefit

Analysts believe Gates’ investments are a sign of confidence in a recovery in the transportation sector, fueled by a recovery in manufacturing and economic expansion, with both FedEx and Paccar poised to benefit from these trends.

FedEx’s DRIVE initiative could deliver new efficiencies, while Paccar’s dominance in the trucking market positions the company to benefit from rising freight volumes.

Gates’ investments indicate his belief that these companies will not only survive the current downturn, but also emerge stronger when the economy recovers.

Gates’ track record as a visionary is well documented.

As co-founder of Microsoft, he revolutionized the tech world, creating a near-monopoly in PC operating systems with Windows.

Since stepping down as CEO of Microsoft in 2000, he has focused on philanthropy through the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, overseeing a portfolio worth billions of dollars.