GOP polling guru Frank Luntz explains major ‘plot twist’ in presidential campaign and how entire voting blocs have ‘collapsed’

According to Republican Party pollster Frank Luntz, Donald Trump is committing “political suicide” as entire voting blocs have shifted to Kamala Harris, creating a major shift in the campaign.

Luntz explained on CNBC’s Squawk Box Wednesday morning that Harris is drawing support from undecided voters, who have largely “collapsed” in her favor.

“The whole constituency has changed,” Luntz told hosts Andrew Ross Sorkin and Melissa Lee.

The pollster blamed Trump’s campaign choices, saying the former president was in decline.

“It’s like he’s out of control,” Luntz fumed. “And I know there are billionaires who watch this show and spend a lot of money on Donald Trump, and they don’t understand why he’s committing political suicide.”

Early in the interview, Ross Sorkin noted that “polls in the presidential race show Vice President Harris gaining ground in a number of swing states and even eroding former President Trump’s lead in Florida.”

He continued: “Our next guest says that if the election were held today, she would win.”

Ross Sorkin, visibly surprised, joked, “That’s a turn.”

“It’s more than that,” Luntz replied.

“That’s a plot twist,” joked Ross Sorkin.

“She’s bringing out people who aren’t interested in voting for Trump or Biden. So the whole electoral pool has changed,” the veteran pollster said.

Luntz then explained how, if things remained as they were, the Democrats could win more than just the White House. They could also capture the Senate and the House of Representatives.

“She has intensity now,” the pollster said of Harris. “She has an intensity advantage. She has a demographic advantage.”

At that point, host Melissa Lee interrupted the discussion and asked how he expected this advantage to translate into votes.

“How big is that? That marginal extra voter that she brings in? I mean, how much does that change the pool?”

“One percent. Maybe two,” Luntz replied. “But that’s enough.”

Ross Sorkin responded negatively, questioning the GOP strategist about the accuracy of his polling information.

“There was an interesting report that came out yesterday that showed that if you look at where Donald Trump was in terms of polls, it was too low in 2016, you know, even in 2020 — it was too low,” Ross Sorkin said.

He continued: ‘And so you start thinking about the margin of error or situation where it might be up one or two percent. But is the Trump vote fully counted?’

Luntz responded to Sorkin’s concerns by saying that his approach is not “just about crunching numbers.”

‘We also plan to hold focus groups to listen and understand why people feel the way they do.’

The seasoned pollster then revealed that his focus groups are repeatedly “disrupted by young women saying, ‘I’m not voting for him anymore.'”

He attributed this phenomenon to a “broad shift” in voting blocs.

‘The people who haven’t decided yet have all collapsed towards Harris. The people who are weak [about] “Trump has all collapsed and is still undecided,” Luntz explained.

He continued: ‘I’m trying to organize a focus group tonight with undecided voters under the age of 27 for a major news outlet. And I can’t recruit young women to do this because they don’t exist as undecided voters.’

While Harris continues to gain momentum, Trump continues to make poor strategic decisions, Luntz said.

“The issues and circumstances were in Donald Trump’s favor,” the pollster said. “He should win the election. But … he doesn’t.”

Luntz referenced a story about the United Auto Workers union, or UAW.

Why does Donald Trump say in public [he wants] “To fire the same people he’s getting now, but still get union members?” the pollster asked.

“It’s ridiculous. It’s like he’s lost control.”