Top Dem strategist who correctly predicted Republican flop in 2022 midterms insists Biden will win in November and urges his fellow liberals to stop worrying
A top Democratic strategist is warning liberals not to worry that Trump could beat Biden in the presidential election, despite polls showing the two candidates neck-and-neck.
New polls from The Wall Street Journal released Tuesday show President Joe Biden trailing former President Donald Trump in six of the seven battleground states.
According to the survey data, Trump leads Biden in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, Nevada and Pennsylvania. The two men are linked in Wisconsin, while only Trump and Biden are on the ballot.
Damning polls have some Democrats worried about the November election, but strategist and adviser Simon Rosenberg insists Biden will secure his re-election.
‘We are quietly confident. In the grand scheme of things, we can handle this; we can win the elections,” he said The New York Times.
Top Democratic strategist Simon Rosenberg insists Biden will secure reelection, telling fellow liberals not to worry
Polls from The Wall Street Journal show President Joe Biden trailing former President Donald Trump in six of the seven battleground states
Rosenberg said Biden’s attack on Trump during the State of the Union helped him and said Trump is not as strong a candidate now as he was in 2016.
“The big thing people got wrong in 2022 was that they thought the Democratic Party wasn’t going to deliver, that we weren’t hungry and we didn’t have energy. And that turned out to be true.’
“We’re asking too much, in my opinion, of the polls when we have all this other information and data available to us to further our understanding. And to me, that additional data suggests that we’re going to have a good election. But we still have a long way to go,” Rosenberg said.
In 2022, many were surprised at how Democrats performed and weathered an expected “red wave.”
Now, 18 months later, positive headlines about Biden’s State of the Union address — one of the biggest political events of the year — and a recent wave of campaign travel are believed to have helped transform his public image.
Biden won plaudits with a combative State of the Union address when he referred to “my predecessor” 13 times without ever using Trump’s name.
Biden attacked him on Russia, reproductive rights, on affordable health care, on the border crisis, on gun control, on the January 6 attack and on his handling of the pandemic in an effort to remind people of the turbulence of the Trump years, which Rosenberg This plays to Biden’s advantage.
‘Trump is a much weaker candidate in this election than in 2016. He is more dangerous. He’s more extreme. His actions on the stump are much more erratic and disturbing,” he said.
“There’s something structural happening underneath all of this, which is that Dobbs has broken the Republican Party and much of the Republican Party has broken away from MAGA. It costs them elections and many donors – and money.’
Wall Street Journal polls showed the president’s age is still a barrier — with just 28 percent of swing state voters saying they believe the 81-year-old Biden is in better physical and mental shape to take the White House to be able to handle.
However, Rosenberg said Biden’s age could be used to his advantage.
“I know Biden’s age is an issue. But I think Biden addressed a lot of people’s concerns with a strong performance at the State of the Union,” he said.
“But you also have to write, in my opinion, you have to be fair and unbiased: there is a strong argument that Biden’s age is also an asset to him, that at a time of enormous challenges for the country, he is the man who has the most experienced person who once worked in the Oval Office could have been a boon to us.”
Wall Street Journal polls showed the president’s age remains a hindrance, but Rosenberg said Biden’s age could be used to his advantage
On the issue of third-party candidates, The Wall Street Journal said in its report of the poll that pollsters believed voters currently supporting the hopeful third-party candidates were persuadable voters — and could ultimately vote for Trump or Biden.
And of the third-party candidates, independent presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy receives the most support: between 7 and 15 percent in the seven battlegrounds.
In Kennedy’s case, he is viewed favorably by half of all Republican voters, but only by a quarter of Democrats, despite previously running for the Democratic nomination.
Polls showed Kennedy receiving more support from voters who would otherwise support Trump over Biden.
Other third-party hopefuls — independent Cornel West, Libertarian Lars Mapstead and Green Party hopeful Jill Stein — are pulling away between 1 and 3 percent of the vote in the seven states.
The other third-party candidates receive more support from Biden compared to Trump.
‘We know from history that we have to take all of this very seriously. “The Democrats understand that we are not only running against Donald Trump this cycle, but three other candidates as well, and we need to get them involved,” Rosenberg said.
“We will have to treat them as if they are serious candidates in these elections. And we need to do what we do in politics: make them unacceptable to voters.”