Swing states poll offers Biden a path to victory: Stopping Trump is voters’ second most important priority
Democrats may not be super excited about bringing back the aging Joe Biden in 2024, but he does have one big advantage in key battlegrounds: Keeping Donald Trump out of power is the second-most important issue for voters.
An exclusive poll for DailyMail.com found that respondents in Arizona, Georgia and Wisconsin all said the economy would be the biggest factor in their decision.
Then it stopped Trump, which was cited by 20 percent of respondents in Wisconsin and 16 percent in Georgia. It was pushed to third place by the border in Arizona, one of the hotspots for migrants entering the US
In an election that pits a 77-year-old against an 81-year-old in a repeat of the 2020 election that no one seems to want, it could give Democrats something to make the vote happen.
The survey of 550 voters in every state found that Democrats considered the idea of stopping Trump the most important election issue.
Stopping Trump is the second most important issue for voters in three key swing states. According to our voter poll, the economy is the most important
Former President Donald Trump has a lead over President Joe Biden in Arizona and Georgia but trails in Wisconsin, according to the poll conducted by JL Partners for DailyMail.com
Joe Alder, Senior Research Associate at JL Partners, who conducted the survey for DailyMail.com, said: The top issues for swing-state Republicans are clear and policy-based, focusing on perceived failures of the Biden administration: the economy and the border.
'For the Democrats, the race is more personal: stopping Donald Trump is by far their biggest motivator.
“With concerns about Biden's age rating lower than would be expected, this signals a campaign that pits Biden's record as president against Trump's merits as an individual.”
DailyMail.com surveyed Arizona, Georgia and Wisconsin for their central roles in the 2020 election.
All three awarded their Electoral College votes to Trump in 2016, before narrowly going to Biden in 2020.
This time things are different.
Trump has a five-point lead over Biden in Arizona and a three-point lead in Georgia. However, Biden leads his likely 2024 challenger in Wisconsin by five percentage points.
Republicans had almost no choice when asked which issues were most important to them.
The pandemic-induced rise in inflation means families are feeling the pressure of price increases under Biden, while record numbers of people are crossing the border illegally this year.
Both issues dominated Republican responses.
JL Partners surveyed 550 voters in Arizona, Georgia and Wisconsin. The results show that Joe Biden is in danger of losing two states that helped him win in 2020
Biden is already the oldest president in history, and polls show that voters, including Democrats, are concerned about his age.
Still, relatively few Republicans in the swing states poll mentioned concerns about Biden himself or his age — just three percent in Arizona, one percent in Georgia and two percent in Wisconsin.
For Democrats, Stopping Trump was the top issue in each of the swing states.
The economy was a distant second.
However, when it comes to black and Hispanic voters, addressing the economy is by far the most important issue.
“The problem for Biden is that his record has failed to enthuse even traditionally loyal Democratic groups,” Alder said.
“It is non-white voters and 18-29 year olds who are most likely to see the economy as their top issue, despite this being an overall Republican-dominated category.
“Frustrations over what is seen as a slow recovery appear to be weakening Biden among these long-standing sources of Democratic support.”
The results show a similar pattern in every state. Both candidates have lost support since 2020. In Georgia, Biden lost by 11 points, with some saying they don't know how they will vote
That could help explain why the results also show Trump making inroads into Biden's support among ethnic minorities, a key part of the 2020 coalition that helped him win power.
Democratic strategist Brad Bannon said the Biden campaign had to worry about falling behind in key states, but there was plenty of time to turn things around, especially if stopping Trump was key to voter sentiment.
“From a Biden point of view, it will come down to a comparison of what life was like in the United States when he was president versus what it was like when Donald Trump was president,” he said.
It would mean reminding voters of a country devastated by COVID, where 10 million people lost their jobs, compared to a government that created almost 14 million jobs.
“There are many voters, especially swing voters in the suburbs, who are uncomfortable with Joe Biden but are deeply concerned about the prospect of a second Trump term,” he added.