Could a conviction of Trump be Biden’s only saving grace? The ex-president’s charges haven’t hurt him, but being found guilty of any of the 91 charges against him could hurt his chances in 2024, polls show
- Trump leads President Biden in five of the six swing states, the NYT/Siena poll shows
- It shows Biden’s erosion among key groups and the weakness of the economy
- If Trump is convicted, 6% of voters say they would switch to Biden
A new swing state poll that has alarmed Democrats shows that President Joe Biden may not be able to stop Donald Trump β but a jury can.
The weekend New York timeAn s/Siena poll shows Trump opening up a lead over Biden in key swing states that will determine the winner next year β with a stunning 10-point lead in Nevada and a 6-point lead in Georgia.
The results show some Democratic strategists say Biden must decide whether it is wise for him to continue on his path to becoming the party’s presumptive nominee.
About the best news for Biden in the poll is that a small share of voters in these crucial states say that if Trump were convicted in any of the four criminal cases against him, it could sway them to support Biden.
If Trump is convicted, about 6 percent of voters in those swing states will tell pollsters they would switch their vote to supporting Biden. according to the Times poll.
Former President Donald Trump leads Joe Biden in five of the six swing states according to a New York Times/Siena College poll. But a small share of voters say they would switch to Biden if Trump is convicted in court
That comes amid a fierce battle by Trump’s legal team to have the cases against him postponed until after the election.
The willingness of some voters to abandon Trump comes despite voters likely expressing deep concerns about Biden on the economy and other top issues.
The survey reached voters in ARizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, which together gave Biden his Electoral College victory in 2020, while also beating Trump by about 7 million votes in the popular vote.
Trump faces a total of 91 criminal charges as he faces charges in four jurisdictions.
Biden has poor numbers on the economy and has seen a decline in support among black and Hispanic voters
He was back in court in Manhattan on Monday to appear as a witness in a civil fraud trial in which prosecutors are seeking $250 million in fines β making campaign-style comments saying the case was unfolding amid the war in Ukraine and the conflict in the Middle East. and concerns about inflation.
Trump faces charges related to his election efforts in Fulton County, Georgia and in Washington, D.C. and his alleged conspiracy to withhold national security information at Mar-a-Lago. In New York, he is accused of filing false financial documents related to hush-hush payments to porn star Stormy Daniels.
The cases against him have been in the news for months and years β and Trump has seen his standing against Republican rivals rise since he was first charged.
The details of a possible conviction come amid serious problems for Biden in the investigation.
Wisconsin is the only one of the swing states where he has an edge, and it is just two points.
Trump has received 22 percent support among black voters in swing states. They were an important part of Biden’s winning coalition in 2020.
Seventy-one percent said Biden was βtoo oldβ to be effective. He turns 81 this month, and Trump is 77.
In contrast to Biden’s problems, a “generic” Democrat has an eight-point lead over Trump in a hypothetical showdown.
In the Georgia case, Trump faces the challenge of getting key figures to plead guilty and possibly testify before prosecutors. His trial in Washington, D.C., on charges of conspiracy to interfere with government proceedings and other charges, will begin this spring.