Global risk expert makes terrifying prediction for a ‘uniquely dangerous’ 2025
A global risk advisor has warned that humanity must tighten its seat belts for a very bumpy ride in 2025.
have been closely monitored annual forecastIan Bbraker on Monday predicted a “uniquely dangerous” time for the planet, similar to the tense 1930s and the start of the Cold War.
He attributes this to Russia’s imperial ambitions, the unchecked rise of artificial intelligence (AI) and that of Donald Trump back to the White House and its revived trade war with China.
Bremmer’s biggest concern is what he calls the “G-Zero world” – where no power or group of nations, such as the US-led West, has an agreed roadmap for peace and security.
“People around the world are facing increased geopolitical instability caused by a lack of global leadership,” said the founder and president of Eurasia Group.
“We are returning to the law of the jungle, where the strongest do what they can, while the weakest are condemned to suffer what they must.”
His annual list came as Russia touted military gains in eastern Ukraine and as the US Congress met to confirm Trump’s 2024 election victory ahead of his Jan. 20 inauguration.
Bbraker, an outspoken Boston-based consultant who advises the world’s executives and policymakers, releases his list of the top 10 threats to global peace and security every January.
Chinese President Xi Jinping and newly elected US President Donald Trump will play the leading roles again in 2025
Ukrainian fighters in the Donbas are defending themselves against neighboring Russia, which will bring more chaos in 2025, according to expert Ian Bremmer
In early 2024, he called the US elections the greatest danger, saying that political divisions at the economic and military top levels were making the country less able to lead in global crises.
This year he said the lack of global leadership has become a chronic problem, making humanity more likely to plunge into devastating conflict.
“We have been living with this lack of international leadership for almost a decade now, but by 2025 the problem will get much worse,” his report says.
‘Expect new and widening power vacuums, emboldened rogue actors and an increased risk of dangerous accidents, miscalculations and conflicts.’
Bbraker does not directly blame Trump, but praises the Republican for the gains in his first term as president from 2017 to 2021.
They included better terms for North American trade, improved ties between Israel and Arab countries and urged Europeans to spend more on their defense.
But he warns that Trump’s second term will bring new challenges and threats.
Backed by a majority in Congress and the Supreme Court, Trump could achieve his plans to purge Washington, including the Justice Department and the FBI, of perceived enemies, permanently damaging those institutions, Bremmer says.
A renewed trade war between China, the US and other countries could throw the global economy into turmoil
Ian Bbraker, founder and president of Eurasia Group, predicts a “uniquely dangerous” period for the planet
Meanwhile, Trump’s economic road map and trade tariffs could roil the US and global economies and worsen already tense relations with China, the expert says.
He also warns that AI is experiencing “relentless” and rapid growth without any effective checks on whether the emerging technology is safe.
But the biggest danger is Russia, he adds, which is making gains in Ukraine and conducting stealth attacks on European infrastructure.
Moscow “will do more than any other country to undermine the world order in 2025,” Beerder said, along with his group’s chairman Cliff Kupchan.
The report was released as Russia’s Defense Ministry said its forces had captured the town of Kurakhove, about 20 miles (30 kilometers) south of Pokrovsk, a Ukrainian logistics hub where Russian forces have been advancing for months.
Moscow continues to fend off a new Ukrainian offensive within the Kursk region of western Russia as both sides try to improve their positions before potentially returning to the negotiating table.
Other security experts have raised similar concerns with Beerder.
RANE’s annual forecast on Monday also warned of Washington’s coming trade war, difficulties in cutting off a peace deal between Russia and Ukraine, and a spiraling conflict in the Middle East.
Russian President Vladimir Putin and North Korean leader Kim Jong Un attend a state reception in Pyongyang, North Korea, June 19, 2024
Artificial intelligence is experiencing ‘relentless’ and rapid growth without any effective checks on whether it is safe
“Israel will wage wars of attrition in Gaza and Lebanon, where a ceasefire is unlikely to end the conflicts, while the gradual annexation of areas in the West Bank is likely to result in a violent uprising,” the statement said. group.
Late last year, DailyMail.com spoke to leading security analysts with a bleak forecast for world peace.
National security expert Mark Toth and former US intelligence officer Colonel Jonathan Sweet say World War III is no longer a distant possibility; he has already started.
They say it only happens in more subtle ways than Western societies experienced at the dawn of the global conflicts of the 20th century.
Instead, they are hybrid threats, secret battles and ideological bickering in the digital arena.
“This third global fire doesn’t look or feel like Hollywood imagined,” Toth and Sweet said.
‘No mushroom clouds or apocalyptic wastelands. Rather, it is a war of a thousand cuts, waged across battlefields spanning multiple regions and multiple domains.”